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<p><a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2026-elections/wisconsin-governor-results" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">NBC News</a>, based on AP data, projects David Crowley as the winner of the Wisconsin governor's race against Tom Tiffany. At 08:15 CET the count stood at 54.1 to 45.9 percent with 98.5 percent counted. Governor Tony Evers, a Democrat, <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Wisconsin_gubernatorial_election" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">declined to run for a third term</a>, which makes this the first Wisconsin governor's race without an incumbent since 2010 and one of five Democratic-held governorships on the ballot in states Trump won in 2024. If elected, David Crowley would be the state's first African-American governor.</p>
<p><strong>Wisconsin governor race: the key facts</strong></p>
<ul>
 <li><strong>Status (08:15 CET):</strong> Crowley 1,438,721 votes (54.1 percent), Tiffany 1,221,668 (45.9 percent), 98.5 percent counted.</li>
 <li><strong>2024:</strong> Donald Trump won Wisconsin in 2024 with 1,697,626 votes to 1,668,229 for Kamala Harris, a margin of 0.9 points.</li>
 <li><strong>Recount:</strong> possible at a margin of 1 percent or less.</li>
 <li><strong>State pension fund:</strong> no spot Bitcoin ETF in its latest SEC filing, but Coinbase, Strategy and Riot shares.</li>
 <li><strong>Prediction market:</strong> the race is called; see <a href="https://polymarket.com/event/wisconsin-governor-winner-2026" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Polymarket</a> for the settled market.</li>
</ul>
<h2 id="wisconsin-election-results-read-the-early-numbers-with-care">Wisconsin election results: read the early numbers with care</h2>
<p>Wisconsin closed its polls at 03:00 CET. We estimate about 9,000 votes are still out, most of them in Taylor. County reporting moves unevenly, so a lead at this stage can still shrink or grow, and in a state decided by 0.9 points two years ago the order of reporting can change the picture several times.</p>
<figure><img src="https://cryptoticker-strapi-media.s3.eu-central-1.amazonaws.com/wi_rest_en_1793776539_490b6d316c.webp" alt="Bar chart of the Wisconsin counties with the most estimated votes still out and the margin so far" width="1920" height="1080">
 <figcaption>
  Source: AP via NBC News, own estimate
 </figcaption>
</figure>
<h2 id="wisconsin-2024-vs-2026-where-the-counties-moved">Wisconsin 2024 vs 2026: where the counties moved</h2>
<p>Milwaukee County went from D+38.4 in the 2024 presidential race to D+52.0 now, with 95 percent counted. Dane County, around Madison, went from D+51.5 in the 2024 presidential race to D+60.9 now, with 95 percent counted. Waukesha County, in the Milwaukee suburbs, went from R+19.7 in the 2024 presidential race to R+15.2 now, with 95 percent counted. Brown County, around Green Bay, went from R+7.5 in the 2024 presidential race to D+2.2 now, with 95 percent counted. Across the larger areas with at least half of the count in, the margin moved 8.0 points toward Democrats on average. These figures compare a partial count with a full presidential count, so the final swing can still change in either direction.</p>
<table>
 <thead>
  <tr>
   <th>County</th>
   <th>Trump vs Harris 2024</th>
   <th>Tiffany vs Crowley 2026</th>
   <th>Counted</th>
  </tr>
 </thead>
 <tbody>
  <tr>
   <td>Milwaukee</td>
   <td>D+38.4</td>
   <td>D+52.0</td>
   <td>95 %</td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
   <td>Dane</td>
   <td>D+51.5</td>
   <td>D+60.9</td>
   <td>95 %</td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
   <td>Waukesha</td>
   <td>R+19.7</td>
   <td>R+15.2</td>
   <td>95 %</td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
   <td>Brown</td>
   <td>R+7.5</td>
   <td>D+2.2</td>
   <td>95 %</td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
   <td>Outagamie</td>
   <td>R+10.2</td>
   <td>R+0.7</td>
   <td>95 %</td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
   <td>Racine</td>
   <td>R+6.2</td>
   <td>D+2.2</td>
   <td>99 %</td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
   <td>Winnebago</td>
   <td>R+4.7</td>
   <td>D+5.1</td>
   <td>95 %</td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
   <td>Washington</td>
   <td>R+36.2</td>
   <td>R+33.4</td>
   <td>99 %</td>
  </tr>
 </tbody>
</table>
<figure><img src="https://cryptoticker-strapi-media.s3.eu-central-1.amazonaws.com/wi_swing_en_1793776539_388f26918f.webp" alt="Dumbbell chart of the largest Wisconsin counties comparing the margin in the 2024 presidential race and the 2026 governor's race" width="1920" height="1080">
 <figcaption>
  Source: AP via NBC News, 2024 results via NBC News
 </figcaption>
</figure>
<h2 id="who-are-david-crowley-and-tom-tiffany">Who are David Crowley and Tom Tiffany?</h2>
<p>David Crowley has been Milwaukee County executive since 2020 and won the Democratic primary with 39.8 percent in an upset over state representative Francesca Hong. Tom Tiffany has represented Wisconsin's 7th Congressional District since 2020, belongs to the Freedom Caucus and won the Republican primary with more than 95 percent after an endorsement from Trump.</p>
<h2 id="wisconsin-and-crypto-from-the-ibit-headlines-to-coinbase-and-riot">Wisconsin and crypto: from the IBIT headlines to Coinbase and Riot</h2>
<p>Wisconsin once made crypto headlines as a state pension fund buying BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF. That chapter is over: the State of Wisconsin Investment Board's <a href="https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&amp;CIK=854157&amp;type=13F-HR" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">latest 13F filing, as of 30 June 2026</a>, shows no IBIT and no other spot Bitcoin ETF. What it does show is 113,005 Coinbase shares worth $16.5 million, 135,369 Strategy shares worth $11.8 million and 350,759 Riot Platforms shares worth $9.6 million. The filing for 30 September is due by mid-November.</p>
<p>The candidates are far apart on the record. Stand With Crypto <a href="https://www.standwithcrypto.org/politicians/person/tom---tiffany" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">gives Tiffany a score of 100</a> on the basis of his entries for the CLARITY Act, the GENIUS Act and FIT21. Crowley has a profile on the site with no rating so far. A governor does not write crypto law, but the office shapes what a state does with public money and how it regulates money transmission, which is why the industry watches these races too.</p>
<h2 id="recount-rules-and-what-happens-next-in-wisconsin">Recount rules and what happens next in Wisconsin</h2>
<p>Wisconsin has no automatic recount. A losing candidate can request one if the margin is 1 percent or less. County canvasses are due to the Wisconsin Elections Commission by 17 November, and the state certifies by 1 December, according to a <a href="https://protectdemocracy.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/08/2026-Wisconsin-Certification-Guide_Final.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">certification guide by Protect Democracy</a>.</p>
<h2 id="why-wisconsin-matters-beyond-the-governor-s-office">Why Wisconsin matters beyond the governor's office</h2>
<p>Wisconsin has no Senate race this year, but Trump won it by only 0.9 points, so it is a clean test of how far the state has moved since 2024. For the national picture, all calls and the full tables are in our <a href="https://cryptoticker.io/en/midterm-election-results-2026-live/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">midterm results live ticker</a>. The bill the crypto industry cares about most, the CLARITY Act, <a href="https://thedefiant.io/news/regulation/senate-blocks-clarity-act-49-50-with-no-democratic-votes-to-proceed" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">failed a Senate vote to open debate 49 to 50 on 15 September</a>; our <a href="https://cryptoticker.io/en/clarity-act-explained/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">CLARITY Act explainer</a> follows what comes next. More from the states: <a href="https://cryptoticker.io/en/michigan-senate-race-results-el-sayed-rogers/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Michigan and its $20 million crypto ETF stake</a> and <a href="https://cryptoticker.io/en/midterms-2026-vs-2024-biggest-changes/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">the biggest changes since 2024</a>.</p>
<h2 id="what-polymarket-says-about-wisconsin">What Polymarket says about Wisconsin</h2>
<p>With the race called, the prediction market has little left to price. The open question for traders is the balance of power in Washington. If you hold coins through a week like this, compare <a href="https://cryptoticker.io/en/comparison/best-regulated-exchange/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">regulated crypto exchanges</a> and <a href="https://cryptoticker.io/en/comparison/best-crypto-broker/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">crypto brokers</a> first. This article is not investment advice.</p>

Wisconsin Governor Race Results: David Crowley vs Tom Tiffany and What the Swing State's Pension Fund Holds in Crypto

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