JD Vance

Republican

Alaska

<p>Americans voted on Tuesday, 3 November 2026, for all 435 members of the House of Representatives and 35 of the 100 senators. At 01:47 CET on Wednesday, the count is running. Neither chamber has been called yet. NBC News has called 11 House seats for Democrats and 8 for Republicans, and the Senate stands at 36 to 31, including seats not up for election. Democrats need a net gain of three seats for the House and four for the Senate, <a href="https://www.ms.now/liveblog/midterm-election-results-2026-live-updates" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">according to MS NOW</a>. Prediction markets put a Democratic sweep at 89.5 percent on <a href="https://polymarket.com/event/balance-of-power-2026-midterms" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Polymarket</a> (01:47 CET). For Bitcoin and crypto, the midterm election results decide who writes the next market structure law after the CLARITY Act failed in the Senate in September.</p>
<p><strong>Midterm election results 2026: the key facts</strong></p>
<ul>
 <li><strong>Status (01:47 CET):</strong> House 11 Democrats, 8 Republicans; Senate 36 to 31, including seats not up for election. Neither chamber has been called yet.</li>
 <li><strong>Majority:</strong> 218 of 435 seats in the House, 51 of 100 in the Senate; at 50 to 50 Vice President JD Vance casts the deciding vote for the Republicans.</li>
 <li><strong>Before the vote:</strong> Republicans held the Senate 53 to 47, counting two independents with the Democrats, and the House 218 to 212, according to <a href="https://whyy.org/articles/election-2026-results-midterms-house-senate-congress/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">WHYY</a> and NBC.</li>
 <li><strong>Exit poll:</strong> Trump approval 38 percent, the economy is the top issue at 39 percent (preliminary, <a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2026-elections/exit-polls" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">NBC News</a>).</li>
 <li><strong>Crypto law:</strong> the CLARITY Act failed 49 to 50 on 15 September; it needed 60 votes and expires on 3 January if the Senate does not act.</li>
 <li><strong>Bitcoin:</strong> $76,885 at 01:47 CET (CoinMarketCap).</li>
</ul>
<h2 id="midterm-election-results-live-the-latest-updates">Midterm election results live: the latest updates</h2>
<p>All times are Central European Time (CET); US Eastern Time is six hours earlier. Race calls come from AP and the NBC News Decision Desk. Newest entry first.</p>
<ul>
 <li><strong>01:33:</strong> NBC News projects <strong>Ossoff (Democrat)</strong> wins the Senate race in Georgia.</li>
 <li><strong>01:03:</strong> NBC News projects <strong>Warner (Democrat)</strong> wins the Senate race in Virginia.</li>
 <li><strong>01:00:</strong> Polls have closed in Georgia, South Carolina, Virginia and Vermont; counting has started in Kentucky and Indiana.</li>
 <li><strong>00:51:</strong> Trump tells the Financial Times the US is "locked and loaded if we need to go, but there may be no reason for it" on Iran (Times of Israel, citing Reuters).</li>
 <li><strong>00:44:</strong> Exit poll: 62 percent call the military action against Iran the wrong decision; among Republican voters, 77 percent back it (NBC News).</li>
 <li><strong>00:40:</strong> Exit poll: only 25 percent rate the economy as good or excellent; in 2018 it was 68 percent (NBC News).</li>
 <li><strong>00:31:</strong> Trump's approval stands at 38 percent in the preliminary exit poll, 62 percent disapprove (NBC News).</li>
 <li><strong>00:11:</strong> Alaska reports a state record of 105,423 early and absentee votes (NBC News).</li>
 <li><strong>00:00:</strong> First polls close in parts of Indiana and Kentucky, the first signals of the night.</li>
 <li><strong>Earlier:</strong> Technical delays in several North Carolina counties; three Pennsylvania precincts extend voting to 20:30 Eastern Time (MS NOW).</li>
 <li><strong>Earlier:</strong> AAA puts regular gasoline at $4.14 a gallon, the highest price on any US Election Day (NBC News).</li>
</ul>
<figure class="image"><img src="https://cryptoticker-strapi-media.s3.eu-central-1.amazonaws.com/midterms_sitze_en_16_f4e42cf65a.webp" alt="Bar chart of seats called in the 2026 midterms, status 01:47 CET: Senate 36 to 31, House 11 to 8">
 <figcaption>
  Source: AP via NBC News, 01:47 CET
 </figcaption>
</figure>
<h2 id="senate-results-2026-the-races-that-decide-the-majority">Senate results 2026: the races that decide the majority</h2>
<p>Republicans can lose three seats and still control the Senate. MS NOW rates Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio and Texas as toss-ups, and NBC News also names Georgia, North Carolina and Iowa among the close races. Democrats have to defend Georgia, Michigan, New Hampshire and Minnesota and flip four seats elsewhere, so North Carolina and Ohio, which report early in the night, are the first real signal.</p>
<table>
 <thead>
  <tr>
   <th>State</th>
   <th>Democrat</th>
   <th>Republican</th>
   <th>Seat held by</th>
   <th>Last polls close (CET)</th>
   <th>Status</th>
  </tr>
 </thead>
 <tbody>
  <tr>
   <td>Georgia</td>
   <td>Ossoff</td>
   <td>Collins</td>
   <td>Democrats</td>
   <td>01:00</td>
   <td><strong>Ossoff wins</strong></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
   <td>South Carolina</td>
   <td>Andrews</td>
   <td>Graham</td>
   <td>Republicans</td>
   <td>01:00</td>
   <td>Andrews 50.4 %, 8 % counted</td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
   <td>North Carolina</td>
   <td>Cooper</td>
   <td>Whatley</td>
   <td>Republicans</td>
   <td>02:15</td>
   <td>counting</td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
   <td>Ohio</td>
   <td>Brown</td>
   <td>Husted</td>
   <td>Republicans</td>
   <td>01:30</td>
   <td>Brown 63.6 %, 14 % counted</td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
   <td>Maine</td>
   <td>Jackson</td>
   <td>Collins</td>
   <td>Republicans</td>
   <td>02:00</td>
   <td>polls open</td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
   <td>New Hampshire</td>
   <td>Pappas</td>
   <td>Sununu</td>
   <td>Democrats</td>
   <td>02:00</td>
   <td>polls open</td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
   <td>Michigan</td>
   <td>El-Sayed</td>
   <td>Rogers</td>
   <td>Democrats</td>
   <td>03:00</td>
   <td>polls open</td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
   <td>Texas</td>
   <td>Talarico</td>
   <td>Paxton</td>
   <td>Republicans</td>
   <td>03:00</td>
   <td>polls open</td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
   <td>Iowa</td>
   <td>Turek</td>
   <td>Hinson</td>
   <td>Republicans</td>
   <td>03:00</td>
   <td>polls open</td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
   <td>Minnesota</td>
   <td>Flanagan</td>
   <td>Tafoya</td>
   <td>Democrats</td>
   <td>03:00</td>
   <td>polls open</td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
   <td>Nebraska</td>
   <td>Osborn (independent)</td>
   <td>Ricketts</td>
   <td>Republicans</td>
   <td>03:00</td>
   <td>polls open</td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
   <td>Kansas</td>
   <td>Hamilton</td>
   <td>Marshall</td>
   <td>Republicans</td>
   <td>03:00</td>
   <td>polls open</td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
   <td>Alaska</td>
   <td>Peltola</td>
   <td>Sullivan</td>
   <td>Republicans</td>
   <td>07:00</td>
   <td>polls open</td>
  </tr>
 </tbody>
</table>
<p>Candidates and status: <a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2026-elections/senate-results" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">NBC News, based on AP data</a>. Close races can stay open for days: Alaska and Maine use ranked-choice voting, and Georgia goes to a runoff if nobody reaches 50 percent.</p>
<h2 id="what-the-midterm-results-mean-for-crypto-four-constellations">What the midterm results mean for crypto: four constellations</h2>
<p>A Democratic House is close to priced in; the open question is the Senate. For the CLARITY Act, the deciding number is 60, because the bill needs 60 votes to get past a Senate filibuster, and in September it reached 49. So no outcome tonight passes the law on its own. The odds below are from <a href="https://polymarket.com/event/balance-of-power-2026-midterms" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Polymarket's balance of power market</a> at 01:47 CET.</p>
<table>
 <thead>
  <tr>
   <th>Outcome</th>
   <th>Odds</th>
   <th>CLARITY Act</th>
   <th>Regulators and oversight</th>
  </tr>
 </thead>
 <tbody>
  <tr>
   <td>Democrats win both</td>
   <td>89.5 %</td>
   <td>TD Cowen expects no passage for two years</td>
   <td>Democrats can block nominees for the SEC, CFTC and FDIC and open investigations into Trump's crypto ties</td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
   <td>Democratic House, Republican Senate</td>
   <td>9.5 %</td>
   <td>A new bill needs a compromise with a Waters-led committee</td>
   <td>Senate keeps confirming Trump's nominees, the House gains subpoena power</td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
   <td>Republicans keep both</td>
   <td>1.2 %</td>
   <td>Text can return, but Democrats are still needed for 60 votes</td>
   <td>Current course at the SEC and CFTC continues</td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
   <td>Democratic Senate, Republican House</td>
   <td>0.2 %</td>
   <td>Blocked at Senate committee level</td>
   <td>Nominees can be stopped, legislation stalls</td>
  </tr>
 </tbody>
</table>
<p>The sharpest reading comes from TD Cowen. Its Washington analyst Jaret Seiberg wrote on election day that a Congress under Democratic control would likely investigate Trump and his crypto ties, "which is why we do not expect the Clarity Act to pass over the next two years", <a href="https://bitcoinmagazine.com/news/td-cowen-democratic-congress-clarity-act" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">as Bitcoin Magazine reports</a>. Elizabeth Warren would then lead the Senate Banking Committee and Maxine Waters the House Financial Services Committee.</p>
<p>That leaves two paths. The first is the lame-duck session until 3 January: Senator Angela Alsobrooks, one of the negotiators, still considers a deal possible before the new Congress starts. The second is rulemaking at the SEC and CFTC, which works without Congress as long as the agencies stay staffed. Everything on the bill's history and content is in our explainer <a href="https://cryptoticker.io/en/clarity-act-explained/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">CLARITY Act explained</a>.</p>
<h2 id="how-bitcoin-oil-and-gold-react-to-the-midterm-results">How Bitcoin, oil and gold react to the midterm results</h2>
<p>With a sweep priced this high, a Democratic win alone is no surprise. The market reaction to watch is a Republican Senate hold or a late shift in Texas and Ohio. Bitcoin went into the night 3.5 percent lower on the week, under pressure from the Binance hack and the sell-off on Wall Street.</p>
<table>
 <thead>
  <tr>
   <th>Market</th>
   <th>Before the first poll closings (00:35 CET)</th>
   <th>Latest</th>
   <th>Change</th>
  </tr>
 </thead>
 <tbody>
  <tr>
   <td>Bitcoin</td>
   <td>$77,877</td>
   <td>$76,885</td>
   <td>−1.3 %</td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
   <td>Ethereum</td>
   <td>$2,290</td>
   <td>$2,263</td>
   <td>−1.2 %</td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
   <td>Oil (Brent)</td>
   <td>$104.33</td>
   <td>$104.22</td>
   <td>−0.1 %</td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
   <td>Oil (WTI)</td>
   <td>$96.68</td>
   <td>$96.60</td>
   <td>−0.1 %</td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
   <td>Gold</td>
   <td>$3,941.50</td>
   <td>$3,929.20</td>
   <td>−0.3 %</td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
   <td>S&amp;P 500 future</td>
   <td>$7,624.50</td>
   <td>$7,558.00</td>
   <td>−0.9 %</td>
  </tr>
 </tbody>
</table>
<p>History gives no reliable template: after the last six US elections, Bitcoin moved between minus 45 and plus 44 percent within 30 days, as our <a href="https://cryptoticker.io/en/midterm-elections-2026-bitcoin-crypto/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">midterm analysis</a> shows. Five concrete paths for Bitcoin, XRP and Solana are in our <a href="https://cryptoticker.io/en/us-midterms-2026-bitcoin-xrp-solana-scenarios/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">midterm scenarios</a>. If you hold coins through a night like this, use platforms from our comparison of <a href="https://cryptoticker.io/en/comparison/best-regulated-exchange/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">regulated crypto exchanges</a> or your own wallet; for a broader market view, see our <a href="https://cryptoticker.io/en/comparison/best-crypto-broker/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">crypto broker comparison</a>.</p>
<figure><img src="https://cryptoticker-strapi-media.s3.eu-central-1.amazonaws.com/midterms_karikatur_elefant_esel_bitcoin_3f3d97e70b.webp" alt="Cartoon: a Republican elephant and a Democratic donkey fight over a gold Bitcoin coin on the steps of the US Capitol" width="1920" height="1080">
 <figcaption>
  Cartoon, created with AI
 </figcaption>
</figure>
<h2 id="exit-polls-2026-prices-latino-voters-and-the-egg-test">Exit polls 2026: prices, Latino voters and the egg test</h2>
<p>The preliminary exit poll for NBC News shows a tense mood: 75 percent rate the economy as not so good or poor, 78 percent say inflation has caused them hardship, and 62 percent blame higher prices on Trump's policies. Latino voters backed Democrats by 61 to 35 percent and Black voters by 88 to 9. These are survey figures, not counted votes, and they can shift overnight.</p>
<p>The symbol of the 2024 campaign no longer fits, though. A dozen eggs cost $3.37 in October 2024 and $2.27 in September 2026, 33 percent less, according to the <a href="https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/APU0000708111" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">US Bureau of Labor Statistics</a>. Gasoline went the other way, from $3.28 to $4.48 a gallon, up 37 percent, as the Iran war pushed up oil; on election day AAA showed $4.14, the highest Election Day price on record, <a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2026-election/live-blog/midterm-election-results-2026-news-trump-live-updates-rcna605763" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">NBC News reports</a>. Coffee costs 40 percent more and ground beef 22 percent more. Wages rose 6.6 percent and consumer prices 6.7 percent over the same period, so the average paycheck has only kept pace.</p>
<figure><img src="https://cryptoticker-strapi-media.s3.eu-central-1.amazonaws.com/midterms_karikatur_eier_test_7cd8c2338a.webp" alt="Caricature: Donald Trump studies a giant egg in a supermarket, behind him a petrol pump and a red and blue US map" width="1920" height="1080">
 <figcaption>
  Caricature, created with AI
 </figcaption>
</figure>
<h2 id="trump-iran-and-the-days-after-the-midterms">Trump, Iran and the days after the midterms</h2>
<p>The vote also closes a political window. Trump said on 8 October that he would not order new strikes on Iran before the election, <a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2026/10/15/us-iran-war-trump-hormuz.html" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">CNBC</a> reported, and CNN reported that the Pentagon is weighing the GBU-43/B, the "mother of all bombs", if strikes resume; CNBC could not confirm that independently. On the eve of the vote, the Wall Street Journal reported a US strike on Iran's Qeshm Island, which officials described as defensive, and Brent traded at $105, <a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2026/11/03/oil-rises-after-report-of-us-strike-on-irans-qeshm-island.html" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">according to CNBC</a>. The New York Times reported joint US and Israeli strike plans for the period after the midterms, <a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/10/25/centcom-reportedly-has-plans-for-iran-strikes-will-trump-approve-them" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">according to Al Jazeera</a>, and on election day Trump told the Financial Times: "We're locked and loaded if we need to go, but there may be no reason for it", <a href="https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/trump-says-us-has-no-immediate-plan-to-strike-iran-but-locked-and-loaded-if-needed" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">the Times of Israel reports</a>. What this means for traders is in our analysis <a href="https://cryptoticker.io/en/trump-iran-moab-oil-gold-midterms/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Trump, Iran and the MOAB</a>.</p>
<h2 id="when-will-the-final-midterm-results-be-known">When will the final midterm results be known?</h2>
<p>A House majority can be clear on Wednesday morning European time if Democrats win the early battlegrounds in the East. California and other Western states count for days, and the last polls close in Alaska at 07:00 CET. Senate control may have to wait for Alaska, Maine or a Georgia runoff. Next on the calendar: the US jobs report on Friday, 6 November, then the lame-duck session, and on 3 January 2027 the new Congress. This article is not investment advice.</p>

Midterm Election Results 2026 Live: Who Wins the Senate and House, and What It Means for Bitcoin

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