<h2 id="three-things-to-know">Three Things to Know</h2>
<ul>
 <li>Sui has given back a large share of its fourth-quarter value as leverage drains from the market.</li>
 <li>Price trades under both long-term moving averages, a bearish order that keeps sellers in charge.</li>
 <li>A daily close above the 50-day line near $0.95 is the first test for any run at the round number.</li>
</ul>
<p>Sui slipped again on Monday, extending a fourth-quarter decline that has pushed the token well below where it started October. Futures traders have pulled money out, yet longs keep paying to hold their positions.</p>
<p>That mix matters now because the selling has been orderly, with no flush to reset positioning. Buyers have not shown up in size on spot markets.</p>
<h2 id="sui-bleeds-leverage-as-sellers-drive-the-fourth-quarter-slide">Sui Bleeds Leverage as Sellers Drive the Fourth Quarter Slide</h2>
<p>Sui has slid steadily since the fourth quarter began, dropping from about $1.30 to a low near $0.82. Traders now watch the $0.8415 area as the line that matters. A daily close below it could expose $0.80.</p>
<p>Derivatives data shows leverage leaving the market. Aggregated open interest fell to about $255.6 million, down from more than $400 million at the October peak. Funding rates remain positive, which means longs are still paying shorts to keep their bets open.</p>
<p>Order flow tells a similar story. Cumulative volume delta (CVD), which tracks whether aggressive buyers or sellers dominate, is trending down in both spot and futures. Spot demand looks thin. Chaikin Money Flow, a gauge of buying and selling pressure, is barely positive.</p>
<p>Liquidations have not spiked the way they do in a capitulation flush. Without that reset, the outlook stays cautious until real demand returns.</p>
<h2 id="both-long-term-averages-now-sit-overhead">Both Long-Term Averages Now Sit Overhead</h2>
<p>Sui (SUI) daily price with the nearest support (green) and resistance (red). Source: TradingView</p>
<p>Sui changed hands near $0.86 at last check, and both of its long-term trend lines now sit above it. The 50-day moving average, which tracks roughly ten weeks of closing prices, stands near $0.95. The 200-day average, a slower gauge of the broader trend, sits close to $0.97.</p>
<p>That setup is a clean bearish alignment. Price trades under the short-term average, and the short-term average trades under the long-term one. Traders read that order as a sign that sellers control every time frame that matters.</p>
<p>The two averages also sit only a few cents apart. That gap is small enough that they act as one thick ceiling. Any bounce toward $1 has to push through this band first. Rallies often stall at a cluster like this. Holders who bought higher tend to sell into the move to get out near breakeven.</p>
<p>Recent losses explain why the band feels so far away. SUI has lost about 27% over the past 30 days, leaving it pinned near the bottom of that range. The past week brought no relief either, with the token down roughly 6% over seven days.</p>
<p>Sellers have kept pressing, and buyers have not stepped in with enough size to slow the decline.</p>
<h3 id="sellers-keep-their-grip-without-panic">Sellers Keep Their Grip Without Panic</h3>
<p>The daily Relative Strength Index (RSI), a 0 to 100 gauge of momentum, reads about 36. That is weak, yet still above the oversold mark at 30. Sellers have room to push further before the indicator flags exhaustion.</p>
<p>SUI also slipped about 1% over the last 24 hours. That small move fits the steady pattern of recent weeks.</p>
<p>Meanwhile, the MACD indicator, which compares short and long price averages, sits below its signal line. Momentum is still pointing down. The trend strength reading confirms a real trend, and sellers are the ones leading it.</p>
<p>That mix describes an orderly decline. Nobody is dumping in a rush, and buyers are staying on the sidelines. Without a flush to clear out late longs, the grind lower can continue.</p>
<h3 id="0-95-is-the-gate-to-a-run-at-1">$0.95 Is the Gate to a Run at $1</h3>
<p>On the daily chart, the first resistance lines up with the 50-day average. Closing above it would put SUI back over its shorter trend line for the first time in weeks.</p>
<p>Clearing that ceiling would also bring the 200-day average and the round-number target into reach. Above them, the next resistance sits near $1.06. A push to that area would mean the fourth-quarter slide had stalled.</p>
<p>The downside map looks less friendly. If the floor traders flagged earlier gives way, the chart shows little support until about $0.71.</p>
<p>Below that sits a second floor near $0.64. A slide that deep would likely require the liquidation flush that has been missing so far.</p>
<h2 id="where-the-next-three-days-could-take-sui">Where the Next Three Days Could Take Sui</h2>
<p>Two paths stand out for the token.</p>
<ul>
 <li>Bullish: Buyers defend the floor traders flagged earlier, then force a daily close above the 50-day line. That would put the next resistance zone above the round number in play. A close back under that same floor would cancel the setup.</li>
 <li>Bearish: A daily close beneath the round support just under the floor would open a drop toward the first chart support below. A recovery above the 50-day line would cancel this path and hand momentum back to buyers.</li>
</ul>
<h2 id="demand-has-to-return-before-1-does">Demand Has to Return Before $1 Does</h2>
<p>For now, SUI belongs to the sellers. The token needs a daily close back above both long-term averages before a return to the round number looks realistic. The main risk sits in derivatives. Longs are still paying positive funding, and no flush has cleared them out. That leaves room for a sharp long squeeze if the floor breaks.</p>
<p>Disclaimer: This article is provided for informational purposes only. It is not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.</p>
<p>Disclaimer: This article is provided for informational purposes only. It is not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.</p>

Here's What Needs to Happen for Sui Price to Hit $1 Again After the Slide to $0.86

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