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Polymarket

<h2 id="senate-targets-late-july-floor-vote-on-landmark-crypto-bill">Senate Targets Late July Floor Vote on Landmark Crypto Bill</h2>
<p>Senator Cynthia Lummis (<a href="https://x.com/SenLummis" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">@SenLummis</a>) told Fox Business that final Senate text for the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act (CLARITY Act) is expected within days, with floor action targeted for the week of July 20. "It's time to land this plane," she said, capping nearly 10 months of work on what would be the most comprehensive crypto market-structure law ever passed in the United States.</p>
<p>The bill has already cleared significant hurdles. The House passed it on July 17, 2025, by a 294-to-134 margin, with more than 70 Democrats crossing the aisle. The Senate Banking Committee then advanced it 15-to-9 on May 14, 2026, and calendar placement on June 1 made it formally eligible for a full Senate floor vote without further committee action. The bill is designed to divide oversight of digital assets between the SEC and the CFTC, giving the crypto industry a defined regulatory map for the first time.</p>
<h2 id="three-fights-a-thin-majority-and-a-hard-deadline">Three Fights, a Thin Majority, and a Hard Deadline</h2>
<p>Despite the momentum, the path to passage remains narrow. The bill still needs at least seven Democratic votes to clear the Senate's 60-vote threshold, with key supporters making their backing conditional on unresolved issues. Three disputes remain open: ethics rules tied to the president's crypto income, illicit-finance language, and stablecoin yield.</p>
<p>President Trump's annual financial disclosure revealed approximately $1.4 billion in crypto-linked income for 2025, and Democratic negotiators have made ethics language covering administration officials and their families a prerequisite for floor support. On the illicit-finance front, Lummis disclosed that the bill carries $150 million in dedicated funding to combat illicit crypto activity, a provision designed to answer the anti-money laundering objection directly. The third sticking point is stablecoin yield: the American Bankers Association argues the bill creates a loophole allowing digital asset platforms to offer interest-equivalent yields outside the GENIUS Act's prohibition on issuer-paid interest.</p>
<p>Complicating matters further, the Senate returned from recess on July 13, leaving 20 working days before Congress disperses for the August recess on August 7. No cloture motion has been filed, and Senate Majority Leader John Thune has not allocated floor time.</p>
<p>The stakes of missing the window are high. Lummis has warned that missing this window would delay meaningful market structure legislation until 2030, after midterms reshape the chamber. Polymarket prices 2026 passage at 48%, down from 74% a month ago. The CLARITY Act is intended to complement the GENIUS Act, the stablecoin law signed on July 18, 2025, whose own rulemaking deadline falls on July 18, 2026, the same week the Senate resumes floor work.</p>
<p><strong>Sources:</strong><br><a href="https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/crypto/articles/clarity-act-countdown-crypto-bill-161215444.html" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">CLARITY Act Countdown: Crypto Bill Misses July 4 Target, August 7 Deadline Looms (Yahoo Finance)</a><br><a href="https://cryptoslate.com/clarity-act-misses-july-target-making-august-7-a-critical-date-for-the-bill/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">CLARITY Act misses July target making August 7 a critical date for the bill (CryptoSlate)</a><br><a href="https://cryptobriefing.com/lummis-clarity-act-crypto-regulation-2/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Sen. Lummis calls CLARITY Act starting point for crypto regulation (Crypto Briefing)</a></p>

Lummis says CLARITY text lands in days

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