CRYPTO

After months of mixed price action, attention is shifting from XRP’s price to the underlying momentum indicators that could shape its next major move.
Crypto analyst Egrag Crypto believes the asset’s monthly oscillator has reached a decisive point, explaining on X that what many traders interpret as a bearish breakdown may instead mark the conclusion of a prolonged manipulation phase and the beginning of a broader bullish reversal.
According to Egrag, the latest movement should not be viewed as a routine bounce in the <a href="https://timestabloid.com/egrag-crypto-presents-xrp-monthly-rsi-update-heres-what-is-forming/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Relative Strength Index (RSI)</a> or a standard oscillator recovery. Instead, he characterized it as a broader macro momentum development that may determine <a href="https://timestabloid.com/analyst-to-xrp-holders-watch-closely-this-could-be-xrps-next-big-move/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">XRP’s next major trend </a>over the coming months.
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet">
 <a href="https://x.com/hashtag/XRP?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">#XRP</a> – Monthly Oscillator Manipulation Is Ending :
 This is not just a normal RSI/oscillator bounce. This is a macro momentum story.
 1️⃣ The 40 Level Was Touched: The oscillator dropped into the 40 region, which is a major historical weakness zone on the monthly time frame.… <a href="https://t.co/1sUztkLyNR" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">pic.twitter.com/1sUztkLyNR</a>
 — EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) <a href="https://x.com/egragcrypto/status/2073681549078266172?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">July 5, 2026</a>
</blockquote>
<h2 id="strong-a-deeper-move-than-previous-cycles-strong">A Deeper Move Than Previous Cycles</h2>
The analyst explained that the monthly oscillator recently dropped into the 40 region, an area he considers a historically important weakness zone for XRP. He noted that in earlier market cycles, the asset formed a recognizable one-two-three bottoming structure within this range before beginning a sustained recovery.
However, Egrag emphasized that the current cycle broke from that historical pattern by falling below the structure that had remained intact since XRP’s early trading history. While many traders could interpret such a move as a bearish signal, he argued that the breakdown may instead represent what he called a “macro deviation.”
In his view, the move below the long-standing support structure resembles a false breakdown designed to shake out market participants before a stronger recovery begins. He described this phase as market manipulation rather than a genuine deterioration in long-term momentum.
<h2 id="strong-applying-the-amd-model-to-the-oscillator-strong">Applying the AMD Model to the Oscillator</h2>
Egrag also introduced his interpretation of the Accumulation, Manipulation, and Distribution (AMD) model. While the framework is commonly used to analyze price action, he suggested it can also apply to momentum oscillators, particularly on higher time frames.
He explained that the red zone shown on his chart represented the expected accumulation and bottoming area. Instead of remaining within that region, the oscillator briefly moved below it, which he identified as the manipulation stage. According to the analyst, the current rebound from approximately 40 toward 42.50 could signal the beginning of the upside distribution phase.
The accompanying chart highlights similar <a href="https://timestabloid.com/dark-defender-xrp-proceeds-with-targets-aligning-with-historical-patterns/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">historical patterns</a> in past XRP cycles while showing the current oscillator attempting to recover after the recent decline.
<h2 id="strong-key-levels-could-determine-the-next-phase-strong">Key Levels Could Determine the Next Phase</h2>
Looking ahead, Egrag outlined several monthly oscillator levels that he believes traders should monitor closely. He identified 43.66 as the first important recovery level, followed by 46.50, which he described as a strong bullish signal. A move above the 50 level would serve as macro confirmation that momentum has shifted decisively in XRP’s favor.
Beyond those milestones, the analyst pointed to an eventual momentum target of 80 on the oscillator if the recovery continues.
Summarizing his outlook, Egrag maintained that the oscillator has already touched the critical 40 level and has begun rebounding. Although the long-standing structure was broken, he believes that the break may have represented the manipulation phase rather than a lasting bearish development.
If XRP reclaims 43.66, advances beyond 46.50, and ultimately secures a monthly close above 50, he believes the monthly oscillator would indicate that a larger macro move is underway.
Disclaimer: This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are advised to conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses.
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The post <a href="https://timestabloid.com/egrag-crypto-says-xrps-monthly-oscillator-manipulation-is-ending-heres-the-meaning/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Egrag Crypto Says XRP’s Monthly Oscillator Manipulation Is Ending. Here’s the Meaning</a> appeared first on <a href="https://timestabloid.com" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Times Tabloid</a>.

Egrag Crypto Says XRP’s Monthly Oscillator Manipulation Is Ending. Here’s the Meaning

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