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Stellar (XLM) continues to trade within a long-term consolidation pattern that has now entered what crypto analyst EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) describes as the most favorable stage for a major breakout.
His latest chart focuses on XLM’s market capitalization rather than price alone, highlighting a <a href="https://timestabloid.com/analyst-states-what-will-happen-if-xrp-follows-this-ascending-triangle/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">multi-year ascending triangle</a> that has compressed for several years while maintaining its structure.
According to the analyst, time spent inside the pattern could prove just as important as price action itself. As volatility continues to contract and support remains intact, he believes XLM is moving toward a critical point in the cycle.
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet">
 <a href="https://x.com/hashtag/XLM?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">#XLM</a> Market Cap – The Ascending Triangle Compression Model
 Most people focus ONLY on price…But TIME compression inside triangles matters just as much. <img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/1f9e0.png" alt="🧠">
 The strongest and healthiest breakouts historically tend to occur AFTER consuming:
 <img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/1fa77.png" alt="🩷"> 65% → Early Ignition Zone <img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/1f7e2.png" alt="🟢"> 70%… <a href="https://t.co/20a5IEMboK" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">pic.twitter.com/20a5IEMboK</a>
 — EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) <a href="https://x.com/egragcrypto/status/2061008594212901138?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">May 31, 2026</a>
</blockquote>
<h2 id="strong-xlm-enters-the-sweet-spot-zone-strong">XLM Enters the “Sweet Spot” Zone</h2>
In his post, EGRAG CRYPTO presented what he calls the “Ascending Triangle Compression Model.” The chart tracks XLM’s market cap from <a href="https://timestabloid.com/xrp-follows-2017-breakout-pattern-analysis-reveals-next-leg-after-6-years-of-consolidation/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">the 2017 cycle</a> through the current market structure, showing a series of projected breakout windows based on how much of the triangle’s lifespan has been consumed.
He noted that the strongest breakouts have historically occurred after a significant portion of a triangle pattern has matured. The chart identifies 65% as the “Early Ignition Zone,” 70% as the “SWEET SPOT,” 80% as a late but still healthy breakout zone, and 90% as a period where reliability begins to decline.
According to the analyst, XLM has already passed the 65% stage and is now transitioning toward the 70% zone. The chart also assigns probabilities to each stage. EGRAG estimates the 70% zone carries the <a href="https://timestabloid.com/analyst-says-xrp-and-xlm-will-make-millionaires-in-2-3-months-heres-why/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">highest breakout probability</a> at roughly 70% to 80%, compared with 45% to 55% around the 65% mark.
<h2 id="strong-compression-continues-as-support-holds-strong">Compression Continues as Support Holds</h2>
The chart shows XLM market capitalization respects a rising support trendline extending from the previous cycle. At the same time, resistance remains near the upper boundary of the triangle, creating a narrowing range.
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet">
 We are on X, follow us to connect with us :- <a href="https://x.com/TimesTabloid1?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">@TimesTabloid1</a>
 — TimesTabloid (@TimesTabloid1) <a href="https://x.com/TimesTabloid1/status/1934162718258499855?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">June 15, 2025</a>
</blockquote>
EGRAG CRYPTO highlighted several factors supporting the setup. He stated that the triangle remains intact, the Macro support is still being respected, volatility is compressing, and the asset is consuming more time within the triangle. The tightening market structure lets pressure build as sellers gradually lose momentum.
<h2 id="strong-momentum-is-already-building-strong">Momentum Is Already Building</h2>
The most recent upward move on the chart coincides with a surge in XLM following the announcement that DTCC plans to <a href="https://timestabloid.com/its-official-dtcc-just-sealed-a-big-deal-with-stellar-xlm-network/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">connect its tokenization infrastructure</a> to the Stellar blockchain as part of its multi-chain strategy. The development marked one of Stellar’s most significant institutional milestones to date and helped fuel a sharp rally in XLM.
Although XLM surged, the ascending triangle structure remains intact. With compression continuing and the asset approaching the analyst’s preferred 70% window, traders will be watching whether the recent momentum can carry XLM toward a decisive move above long-term resistance.
Disclaimer: This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are advised to conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses.
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The post <a href="https://timestabloid.com/xrp-focused-analyst-this-model-shows-xlm-is-in-the-sweet-spot-for-breakout/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">XRP-Focused Analyst: This Model Shows XLM Is in the “Sweet Spot” for Breakout</a> appeared first on <a href="https://timestabloid.com" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Times Tabloid</a>.

XRP-Focused Analyst: This Model Shows XLM Is in the “Sweet Spot” for Breakout

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