Satoshi

Tucker Carlson

Satoshi Nakamoto

Peter Todd

Adam Back

The odds of Bitcoin (BTC) developer <a href="https://www.thestreet.com/crypto/markets/polymarket-satoshi-nakamoto-bitcoin" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Satoshi Nakamoto</a> moving the cryptocurrency in 2026 have surged on <a href="https://www.thestreet.com/crypto/markets/polymarket-satoshi-nakamoto-bitcoin" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Polymarket</a>, latest data shows.
Satoshi is the presumed pseudonymous individual or group who developed Bitcoin. Thanks to&nbsp;early Bitcoin holdings,&nbsp;they are one of the wealthiest individuals in the world.
<a href="https://www.thestreet.com/crypto/markets/professor-jiangs-bitcoin-cia-operation-claim-triggers-backlash" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Related: 'Professor' Jiang's Bitcoin 'CIA operation' claim triggers backlash</a>
<h2 id="polymarket-traders-bet-on-satoshi-moving-bitcoin-this-year">Polymarket traders bet on Satoshi moving Bitcoin this year</h2>
As per the onchain analytics platform <a href="https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Arkham</a>, Satoshi's wallet holds 1.09 million Bitcoin which are currently valued at more than $87 billion.
In fact, the&nbsp;pseudonymous&nbsp;developer's fortune once stood at approximately $138 billion when Bitcoin hit the all-time high of&nbsp;$126,080&nbsp;in early October last year.
But the ongoing Bitcoin slump has led to the cryptocurrency currently trading at&nbsp;$79,002.34, dragging Satoshi's fortune down to&nbsp;$87 billion.
The decline has led traders on the crypto-based prediction market, Polymarket, to&nbsp;<a href="https://polymarket.com/event/will-satoshi-move-any-bitcoin-in-2026" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">bet on Satoshi moving</a> any Bitcoin in 2026 and the odds have surged to 9%.
<figure><a href="https://polymarket.com/event/will-satoshi-move-any-bitcoin-in-2026" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow"></a>
 <figcaption>
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?, Source: Polymarket
 </figcaption>
</figure>
It's a jump of 4%, and traders have put $2.6 million on the said market so far. The market will automatically resolve on Polymarket on Jan. 1, 2027.
<h3 id="trending-on-thestreet-roundtable">Trending on TheStreet Roundtable:</h3>
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<h2 id="satoshi-s-identity-triggers-wild-speculations">Satoshi's identity triggers wild speculations</h2>
Since Satoshi's true identity is unknown, everyone keeps speculating who this person might be.
Even Hollywood is obsessed with the developer's identity.
<a href="https://www.thestreet.com/crypto/markets/satoshi-nakamoto-mystery-heads-to-hollywood-in-thriller-killing-satoshi" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">As reported earlier</a>, director Doug Liman will make a thriller titled 'Killing Satoshi' which will feature Oscar-winning actor Casey Affleck and Pete Davidson.
An HBO documentary, 'Money Electric: The Bitcoin Mystery' (2024), floated a theory that Canadian developer Peter Todd was Satoshi. But Todd <a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c62m73my0dno" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">called</a> the documentary’s theory “ludicrous.”
The New York Times recently&nbsp;<a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/08/business/bitcoin-satoshi-nakamoto-identity-adam-back.html" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">claimed</a> in a report that the&nbsp;British cryptographer Adam Back is Satoshi. But Back <a href="https://x.com/adam3us/status/2041809937748066445" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">denied</a>&nbsp;the claim.
An Australian computer scientist called&nbsp;Craig Wright&nbsp;publicly declared himself Satoshi in 2016. But a U.K. High Court <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2024/mar/14/australian-craig-wright-not-bitcoin-creator-satoshi-nakamoto-high-court-rules" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">ruled</a>&nbsp;in 2024&nbsp;that he “lied extensively and repeatedly,” and concluded he was not Satoshi.
Conservative political commentator Tucker Carlson once&nbsp;<a href="https://www.thestreet.com/crypto/investing/tucker-carlson-cia-bitcoin" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">claimed</a>&nbsp;the developer may have ties to U.S. intelligence agencies. YouTuber Jiang Xueqin, known as "Professor Jiang," has&nbsp;<a href="https://www.thestreet.com/crypto/markets/professor-jiangs-bitcoin-cia-operation-claim-triggers-backlash" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">called</a> Satoshi a cover for a "CIA operation."
But Bitcoin advocates claim it simply doesn't matter who Satoshi is because Bitcoin is a decentralized cryptocurrency which runs on open-source code. So, speculating on Satoshi's identity is an endless but useless exercise.
<a href="https://www.thestreet.com/crypto/markets/actor-ben-mckenzie-slams-bitcoin-on-jon-stewart-show" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Related: Actor Ben McKenzie slams Bitcoin on Jon Stewart show</a>

Trader predicts Satoshi could move Bitcoin in 2026

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