<p>Today is the last day of March. Bitcoin is currently trading at $66,761, and the number that matters most right now is not the price, but the monthly close.</p>
<p>According to <a href="https://x.com/coinglass_com/status/2038887247605608595?s=20" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">CoinGlass data</a>, Bitcoin has already posted 5 straight months of losses. October through February read like a slow bleed: -3.69%, -17.67%, -2.97%, -10.17%, -14.94%. March is currently sitting at +0.88%. One red close today and Bitcoin confirms 6 consecutive months of losses.</p>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="h-long-term-holders-are-waving-the-white-flag"><strong>Long-Term Holders Are Waving the White Flag</strong></h2>
<p>While the monthly close grabs headlines, the more significant signal is happening on-chain.</p>
<p>Data shows Bitcoin’s Long-Term Holder SOPR has dropped below 1.0, which means holders who have held for over 155 days are now selling at a loss. The indicator dropping below 1.0 is what analysts call a ‘surrender phase.’</p>
<blockquote class="wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow">
 <p>CryptoQuant analyst DanCoinInvestor put it: <em>“While it may be early to identify the current market as the bottom, a phase in which losses become widespread would likely represent the final stage of fear and the beginning of opportunity.”</em></p>
</blockquote>
<p>The SOPR chart tells a striking historical story. Every previous time this indicator dropped below 1.0 – 2015, 2019, 2022 – a major rally followed. The current reading matches those prior capitulation zones almost exactly.</p>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading" id="h-is-early-april-the-bottom"><strong>Is Early April the Bottom?</strong></h3>
<p>Analyst Michaël van de Poppe <a href="https://x.com/CryptoMichNL/status/2038904662410084404?s=20" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">offered a direct read</a> on the setup.</p>
<blockquote class="wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow">
 <p><em>“It’s probably better to ask ‘when’ instead of ‘if’ we’re going to see the price of Bitcoin fall,”</em> he wrote.</p>
</blockquote>
<p>Van de Poppe’s chart points to a liquidity sweep in early April, with a potential recovery zone between $53,000 and $60,000 before a reversal higher.</p>
<p>Historically, April has been one of Bitcoin’s strongest months. The CoinGlass monthly returns table shows an average April return of +13.06% and a median of +7.27% – though 2026 has already broken several historical patterns this year</p>
<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter">
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  <blockquote class="twitter-tweet">
   <p><a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Bitcoin?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">#Bitcoin</a> has already posted 5 straight monthly declines:<br><br>Oct 2025: -3.69%<br>Nov 2025: -17.67%<br>Dec 2025: -2.97%<br>Jan 2026: -10.17%<br>Feb 2026: -14.94%<br>March currently at +0.88%.<br><br>If it closes red, <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/BTC?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">#BTC</a> will confirm 6 straight months of losses.🧐 <a href="https://t.co/2sTss9AFSg" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">pic.twitter.com/2sTss9AFSg</a></p>— CoinGlass (@coinglass_com) <a href="https://twitter.com/coinglass_com/status/2038887247605608595?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">March 31, 2026</a>
  </blockquote>
 </div>
</figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading" id="h-what-the-data-says-right-now"><strong>What the Data Says Right Now</strong></h3>
<p>Bitcoin is down 1.08% over the past 24 hours and 6.29% over the past 7 days. The bear trend is intact. But the same on-chain signals that appeared at every major bottom in Bitcoin’s history are now active.</p>
<p>The monthly close in the next few hours will set the tone for April. Traders are watching.</p>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="h-faqs">FAQs</h2>
<div class="schema-faq wp-block-yoast-faq-block">
 <div class="schema-faq-section" id="faq-question-1774963892358"><strong><strong>What is the Bitcoin price prediction for 2026?</strong></strong>
  <p>Bitcoin is expected to range between $100K and $180K in 2026, with bullish momentum building as consolidation near $70K shifts into expansion.</p>
 </div>
 <div class="schema-faq-section" id="faq-question-1774963953091"><strong><strong>How much will 1 Bitcoin be worth in 2030?</strong></strong>
  <p>Bitcoin could range between $380K and $900K by 2030, with an average target near $750K as adoption, scarcity, and institutional demand grow.</p>
 </div>
 <div class="schema-faq-section" id="faq-question-1774963953678"><strong><strong>What will 1 BTC be worth in 2040?</strong></strong>
  <p>By 2040, Bitcoin could range between $5,799,454 and $13,532,059, with an average estimate near $9,665,757 as adoption and scarcity increase.</p>
 </div>
 <div class="schema-faq-section" id="faq-question-1774964008259"><strong><strong>Is it safe to invest in Bitcoin today for long-term?</strong></strong>
  <p>Bitcoin can be a strong long-term asset, but it remains volatile. Investing gradually and holding long-term may reduce risk and improve potential returns.</p>
 </div>
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Bitcoin Monthly Close: 5 Months In the Red, But Bulls Are Watching THIS Signal

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