Donald Trump

Bitcoin

Arthur

<p>Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, is known for his bold predictions about the crypto market. And this time, he strikes hard. According to him, Donald Trump’s inauguration could trigger a collapse in the crypto market. While many anticipate favorable political changes for crypto assets, Hayes seems to be swimming against the tide. His strategy? To reduce his short-term positions to return to lower prices in 2025.</p> 
<h2 id="h-donald-trump-le-vrai-danger-pour-les-cryptos">Donald Trump, the real danger for cryptos?</h2> 
<p>Arthur Hayes, <a href="https://www.cointribune.com/en/arthur-hayes-drops-bitcoin-and-bets-big-on-solana-ahead-of-the-elections/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">the man who dropped Bitcoin for Solana</a>, is not one to go with the flow, and his latest warning is not an insignificant detail. <strong>Donald Trump’s inauguration could shake the crypto market</strong> much more violently than expected. While everyone sees Trump as a potential champion of crypto, Hayes warns against <strong>excessive expectations</strong>.</p>
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<p>In <a href="https://cryptohayes.substack.com/p/trump-truth" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">a post titled “Trump Truth”</a>, he predicts <strong>an immediate crash around January 20, 2025</strong>. The idea behind this brutal drop? A collective disappointment at the lack of concrete and rapid reforms in the crypto field.</p> 
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<p>« <em>The market believes that Trump and his allies will perform economic miracles overnight</em> », declares Hayes, but one must not forget that policies take time to implement. </p> 
<p>The president will have <strong>at best one year to fulfill his promises</strong>. This could provoke a violent reaction in the markets, pushing many investors to <strong>sell in panic</strong>.</p> 
<p>Until then, Hayes and his Maelstrom fund intend to lighten their positions to prepare for <strong>a strategic low-cost purchase</strong>, a strategy that reflects his short-term pessimism.</p> 
<ul> 
 <li>Hayes’ forecast: a massive sell-off around January 20;</li> 
 <li>Overly high expectations about Trump’s crypto policies;</li> 
 <li>A possible recovery, but not before the second half of 2025.</li> 
</ul> 
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<h2 id="h-les-previsions-de-hayes-pour-2025">Hayes’ predictions for 2025</h2> 
<p>Arthur Hayes, with his sharp market analysis, believes that <strong>the year 2025 will be the year of the great reversal for crypto</strong>, but not necessarily in the way enthusiastic investors expect. After a likely plunge at the beginning of the year, the expert predicts <strong>a “crack-up-boom” in the second half of 2025</strong>.</p> 
<p>This is where the real question arises: how will the adoption of bitcoin and other cryptos evolve in such an uncertain political context?</p>  
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<p>The key to the reversal, according to Hayes, lies in <strong>investor psychology</strong>. Those who bought crypto during the euphoria of the 2023-2024 bull run may find themselves <strong>trapped in a selling spiral</strong>, while those who stayed out risk seeing the recovery slip through their fingers. Hayes does not hide his strategy:</p> 
<p>« <em>If the market plunges after Trump’s inauguration, I will be there to buy at low prices, because there will definitely be a rebound at some point.</em> » </p>
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   Bitcoin (yellow) drives an increase in American bank credit (white) – Source: CryptoHayes
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<p>But beware, this is not a forecast of immediate gains. « <em>There is a timing to respect</em> », he warns, mentioning <strong>a slow re-evaluation of the crypto market in 2025</strong>.</p> 
<p>Let’s not forget that last November, Hayes already predicted that Donald Trump would not be <a href="https://www.cointribune.com/en/hayes-takes-trump-apart-and-reveals-the-trigger-for-the-next-crypto-bull-run/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">the trigger for the next bitcoin bull run</a>. According to him, it is China that will play a decisive role in the relaunch of crypto, while the Trump effect will only be a mirage.</p>

Crypto: Trump’s Inauguration Will Trigger A Massive Collapse, Predicts Hayes

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