The Crypto Fear & Greed Index, another crucial metric, is ringing alarm bells. Since November 12, the index has consistently remained above 80, hitting 90 on November 17 and November 19—levels not seen since February 2021. Such extreme optimism often precedes price corrections.
Long-Term Holders and Exchange Flows Remain Bullish
While warning signs emerge, other indicators suggest the bull run might still have momentum. The Realized Cap Growth chart, which tracks new money entering the market, remains strong. This inflow of fresh capital has historically supported sustained price increases, and its current levels affirm Bitcoin’s bullish phase.
The Inter-Exchange Flow Pulse (IFP), a measure of Bitcoin’s movement to derivatives exchanges, adds another layer of insight. Traders are actively transferring Bitcoin to these platforms, indicating bullish sentiment. The IFP currently trends at 730,000—well below its bull-run peak of 1 million, yet significantly higher than bear market lows of 200,000.
Outlook: Proceed with Caution
With Bitcoin’s recent rally driven by strong market enthusiasm, the interplay of these indicators paints a mixed picture. While some metrics hint at a potential peak, others suggest room for further growth.
For investors, staying vigilant and interpreting these signals in context will be crucial in navigating the volatile crypto landscape.