Long

Flow

Cardano

Spike

Cardano price began rising toward the end of last week and into the weekend. On the daily time frame, the asset surged and closed above a crucial resistance level. Only one more barrier remains before ADA price can start making significant gains. Despite this optimistic view, Cardano has been hit by a development issue, as the <a href="https://coingape.com/cardano-ceo-mulls-algorand-partnership-to-build-decentralized-ai/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Chang hard fork was delayed</a> once more by four days. This may have impacted investor confidence as ADA lost its bullish momentum. The asset is trading at $0.3857, down 3.7% in the last 24 hours.
<h2 id="negative-sentiment-is-affecting-cardano-price">Negative Sentiment is Affecting Cardano Price</h2>
Since the Chang hard fork delay, ADA price has displayed some signs of stagnation, including reduced network profitability and volume.&nbsp;
Data from <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://santiment.net/">Santiment</a> shows that the Cardano network daily profit ratio dropped to 0.88, its lowest point since August 18. This means that for every ADA transaction closed in loss, 0.88 were completed in profit, suggesting that most ADA on-chain traders transact in losses.
<img decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-214006 size-full" src="https://coingape.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/Gaming.net-2-e1724615368831.jpg" alt="Cardano network daily profit ratio" width="1920" height="691" srcset="https://coingape.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/Gaming.net-2-e1724615368831.jpg 1920w, https://coingape.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/Gaming.net-2-e1724615368831-300x108.jpg 300w, https://coingape.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/Gaming.net-2-e1724615368831-1224x441.jpg 1224w, https://coingape.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/Gaming.net-2-e1724615368831-768x276.jpg 768w, https://coingape.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/Gaming.net-2-e1724615368831-1536x553.jpg 1536w, https://coingape.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/Gaming.net-2-e1724615368831-150x54.jpg 150w" sizes="(max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px">
This observation is further supported by the Network Profit/Loss (NPL) ratio, which has been dropping consecutively for the past three days, showing that recently, coins that have changed addresses were sold at a net loss.
Further, Coinglass data shows that Cardano open interest (OI) and price dropped in the last 24 hours by 2.21% and 3.03%, respectively. This data suggests that traders are closing their Long positions, potentially in losses, as confirmed by Santiment’s NPL data. When traders close their Longs, they are mostly likely to open shorts.
<img decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-214007" src="https://coingape.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/Screenshot-2024-08-25-214700.png" alt="ADA OI" width="1429" height="590" srcset="https://coingape.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/Screenshot-2024-08-25-214700.png 1429w, https://coingape.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/Screenshot-2024-08-25-214700-300x124.png 300w, https://coingape.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/Screenshot-2024-08-25-214700-1224x505.png 1224w, https://coingape.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/Screenshot-2024-08-25-214700-768x317.png 768w, https://coingape.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/Screenshot-2024-08-25-214700-150x62.png 150w" sizes="(max-width: 1429px) 100vw, 1429px">
These on-chain metrics suggest that Cardano price might drop further over the next 24 hours as the market sentiment for the asset has turned bearish. However, if ADA can sustain above the current price until the wind blows over, investors still holding can enjoy a 78% surge in price.&nbsp;
<h2 id="ada-price-analysis-key-levels-to-watch-for-78-spike">ADA Price Analysis: Key Levels to Watch for 78% Spike</h2>
The Cardano price chart shows a downward trend within a descending channel. The price is currently trading near the upper boundary of this channel, suggesting a potential resistance area around $0.40. 
The 50-day EMA (green line) is below the 200-day EMA (black line), reinforcing the bearish trend. However, the price action is currently trying to remain above the 50-day EMA, indicating a possible shift in momentum. The <a href="https://coingape.com/price/cardano/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">ADA price</a> will likely find resistance around $0.40–$0.42, and the 200-day EMA at $0.4355.
The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator is positive (0.21), indicating buying pressure. This suggests accumulation is occurring, providing a basis for a potential upward breakout if sustained.
If Cardano price closes above $0.4355 (200-day EMA) with strong volume, it could confirm a longer-term trend reversal, ideal for long-term entry. Potential targets could be around $0.50, 0.60, and $0.70 for long-term gains if the reversal is confirmed.
<figure id="attachment_214008" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-214008" style="width: 100%" class="wp-caption aligncenter"><img decoding="async" class="size-full wp-image-214008" src="https://coingape.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/ADAUSDT_2024-08-25_22-04-43.png" alt="Cardano Price Analysis Chart" width="1815" height="764" srcset="https://coingape.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/ADAUSDT_2024-08-25_22-04-43.png 1815w, https://coingape.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/ADAUSDT_2024-08-25_22-04-43-300x126.png 300w, https://coingape.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/ADAUSDT_2024-08-25_22-04-43-1224x515.png 1224w, https://coingape.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/ADAUSDT_2024-08-25_22-04-43-768x323.png 768w, https://coingape.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/ADAUSDT_2024-08-25_22-04-43-1536x647.png 1536w, https://coingape.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/ADAUSDT_2024-08-25_22-04-43-150x63.png 150w" sizes="(max-width: 1815px) 100vw, 1815px">
 <figcaption id="caption-attachment-214008" class="wp-caption-text">
 Cardano Price Analysis Chart
 </figcaption>
</figure>
If the ADA price fails to hold the 50 EMA support, the channel’s midline near $0.35 is a key support level. If the price pushes further downward, it will find lower support around $0.30 at the channel’s lower boundary.
The post <a href="https://coingape.com/markets/cardano-price-bullish-thesis-hints-78-breakout-amid-negative-sentiment/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Cardano Price Bullish Thesis Hints 78% Breakout Amid Negative Sentiment</a> appeared first on <a href="https://coingape.com" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">CoinGape</a>.

Cardano Price Bullish Thesis Hints 78% Breakout Amid Negative Sentiment

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