2024

Bitcoin

when

Bitcoin (<a href="https://cointelegraph.com/bitcoin-price">BTC</a>) is on track to hit $150,000 in 2024, says veteran crypto market commentator Tom Lee.
In an <a href="https://x.com/BTC_Archive/status/1793557828411785604" target="_blank" rel="noopener nofollow">interview</a> on CNBC earlier in May, Lee, a managing partner and head of research at Fundstrat Global Advisors, came out with his latest bullish BTC price prediction.
<h2 data-ct-non-breakable="true" id="lee-reiterates-150-000-btc-price-target">Lee reiterates $150,000 BTC price target</h2>
Bitcoin has no shortage of <a href="https://cointelegraph.com/news/ethereum-etf-decision-btc-price-80k-may-target">optimistic price targets</a> this week, but some observers are focusing on the long term.
Lee is among them, revealing that Fundstrat sees a “base case” six-figure BTC price in 2024.
“Bitcoin’s still, we think, early in an upcycle, so the idea that it could get to $150,000 this year is still within our base case,” he said.
Such a price would be double the current all-time highs, which hit in March before retreating to $56,000 at the start of May.
Lee explained his reasoning by pointing to macroeconomic changes coming from the United States.
The Federal Reserve’s language on interest rate cuts — a key issue watched by risk-asset traders — is “more dovish than where the market is.”
“I think that’s the process of why markets are recovering,” he suggested.
Lee is <a href="https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-price-may-hit-27k-all-time-high-by-summer-predicts-tom-lee">well known in crypto circles</a> for his BTC price predictions, not all of which have come true.&nbsp;In the long run, he implied to followers on X, being long BTC has paid off.
“LESSON: being intellectually stubborn is costly,” he <a href="https://x.com/fundstrat/status/1793296227741655190" target="_blank" rel="noopener nofollow">wrote</a> while discussing Fundstrat’s investment thesis.
BTC/USD traded at around $70,000 at the time of writing on May 23, per data from <a href="https://subscription.cointelegraph.com/?_gl=1*7499wx*_ga*MTQ0MzQ0NzI4Ny4xNzE2MzY1NTA0*_ga_53R24TEEB1*MTcxNjM2NTUwNC4xLjEuMTcxNjM2Njg2MC4wLjAuMA..">Cointelegraph Markets Pro</a> and <a href="https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/BTCUSD/?exchange=BINANCE" target="_blank" rel="noopener nofollow">TradingView</a>, up 15% month-to-date.
<figure data-ct-non-breakable="true">
 <img src="https://s3.cointelegraph.com/uploads/2024-05/ed18499a-8ebe-4062-a6a2-d85f4d7d217d.png" alt="" title="">
 <figcaption style="text-align: center;">
 BTC/USD 1-day chart. Source: TradingView
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<h2 data-ct-non-breakable="true" id="risk-assets-face-uncertain-timing">Risk assets face uncertain timing</h2>
The latest estimates from CME Group’s <a href="https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener nofollow">FedWatch Tool</a> meanwhile show that markets only believe a cut is the most likely option at the Fed’s September meeting — not earlier.
Related:&nbsp;<a href="https://cointelegraph.com/news/etfs-buy-3x-new-btc-supply-5-things-bitcoin-this-week">ETFs buy 3X new BTC supply — 5 Things to know in Bitcoin this week</a>
The latest <a href="https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomcminutes20240501.htm" target="_blank" rel="noopener nofollow">minutes</a> of the May meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee, or FOMC, additionally stressed the idea that no policy direction was off the table.
“Participants discussed maintaining the current restrictive policy stance for longer should inflation not show signs of moving sustainably toward 2 percent or reducing policy restraint in the event of an unexpected weakening in labor market conditions,” it stated. 
<blockquote data-ct-non-breakable="true">
 “Various participants mentioned a willingness to tighten policy further should risks to inflation materialize in a way that such an action became appropriate.”
</blockquote>
<figure data-ct-non-breakable="true">
 <img src="https://s3.cointelegraph.com/uploads/2024-05/27a47b2a-6c7f-4fa5-a959-2ffa949b01eb.png" alt="" title="">
 <figcaption style="text-align: center;">
 Fed target rate probabilities for the September FOMC meeting. Source: CME Group
 </figcaption>
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This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

Bitcoin price at $150K in 2024 is ‘base case’ — Tom Lee

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