Gemini

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Bitcoin

Arthur

<div class="finbold">
 <p class="paragraph">Despite many cryptocurrency experts firmly believing that the upcoming Bitcoin (BTC) <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" title="halving" href="https://thebittimes.com/tag/halving.html">halving</a> will usher in an explosive rally for the flagship decentralized finance (DeFi) asset, the co-founder of crypto exchange BitMEX and prominent investor, Arthur Hayes, doesn’t share their optimism.</p>
 <p class="paragraph">Specifically, Hayes has admitted that the halving would “pump prices in the medium term” but has also argued that the Bitcoin “price action directly before and after [the halving] could be negative,” because of the role of the narrative surrounding it, according to his blog post on April 8.</p>
 <p class="paragraph">As he pointed out:</p>
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   <svg width="32" height="32" viewbox="0 0 32 32" fill="none" xmlns="//www.w3.org/2000/svg"><path d="M4 10.6665V25.3332C4 28.2678 6.392 29.3332 8 29.3332H28V26.6665H8.016C7.4 26.6505 6.66667 26.4078 6.66667 25.3332C6.66667 24.2585 7.4 24.0158 8.016 23.9998H28V5.33317C28 3.8625 26.804 2.6665 25.3333 2.6665H8C6.392 2.6665 4 3.73184 4 6.6665V10.6665ZM8 5.33317H25.3333V21.3332H6.66667V6.6665C6.66667 5.59184 7.4 5.34917 8 5.33317Z" fill="#EF4444"> 
    </path> <path d="M15.996 18.6668L20.4626 14.2815C20.738 14.0166 20.9571 13.6989 21.1068 13.3473C21.2564 12.9957 21.3336 12.6176 21.3336 12.2355C21.3336 11.8534 21.2564 11.4752 21.1068 11.1236C20.9571 10.7721 20.738 10.4543 20.4626 10.1895C19.9074 9.64148 19.1587 9.33422 18.3786 9.33422C17.5985 9.33422 16.8498 9.64148 16.2946 10.1895L15.996 10.4801L15.6973 10.1881C15.1423 9.64023 14.3938 9.33301 13.614 9.33301C12.8341 9.33301 12.0856 9.64023 11.5306 10.1881C11.2552 10.453 11.0361 10.7707 10.8865 11.1223C10.7368 11.4739 10.6597 11.852 10.6597 12.2341C10.6597 12.6162 10.7368 12.9944 10.8865 13.346C11.0361 13.6975 11.2552 14.0153 11.5306 14.2801L15.996 18.6668Z" fill="#EF4444"> 
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  <p class="paragraph">“The narrative of the <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" title="halving" href="https://thebittimes.com/tag/halving.html">halving</a> being positive for crypto prices is well entrenched. When most market participants agree on a certain outcome, the opposite usually occurs. That is why I believe Bitcoin and crypto prices in general will <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" title="slump" href="https://thebittimes.com/tag/slump.html">slump</a> around the <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" title="halving" href="https://thebittimes.com/tag/halving.html">halving</a>.”</p>
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 <p class="paragraph">Furthermore, Hayes explained that the United States dollar liquidity being tighter than usual right around the estimated Bitcoin <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" title="halving" href="https://thebittimes.com/tag/halving.html">halving</a> date “will add propellant to a raging firesale of crypto assets,” which is another reason why he intends to “abstain from trading until May.”</p>
 <h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="h-why-may">Why May?</h2>
 <p class="paragraph">According to the renowned investor, this refers to the period between April 15 (the deadline for 2023 tax year payments) and May 1, when the Federal Reserve will hold a meeting during which many expect it would reduce the pace of its Quantitative Tightening (QT) program by $30 billion per month.</p>
 <p class="paragraph">Considering that “the reduction in the pace of QT is positive for dollar liquidity as the Fed’s balance sheet rate of decline slows,” May 1 would mark the end of the “precarious period for risky assets” and a return of liquidity as the “pace of QT declines, and [Janet] Yellen gets busy cashing checks to jack up asset prices.”</p>
 <blockquote class="wp-block-quote">
  <p class="paragraph">“While I will not outright short the market, I have closed in profit several shitcoin and memecoin trading positions. From now until May 1st, I will be in a no-trade zone. I hope to return in May with dry powder ready to deploy to position myself for the bull market to begin in earnest.”</p>
 </blockquote>
 <h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="h-bitcoin-price-prediction-and-analysis">Bitcoin price prediction and analysis</h2>
 <p class="paragraph">Meanwhile, the largest asset in the crypto industry by market capitalization was at press time trading at $70,430, down 1.96% on the day but nonetheless advancing 5.83% across the week, and accumulating a monthly gain of 1.22%, according to the latest chart data on April 9.</p>
 <figure class="wp-block-image"><img decoding="async" width="750" height="496" src="https://cdn.thebittimes.com/images/2024/04/09/abb5c238ed472b01e38202f0c7e6dcb9.webp" alt class="wp-image-167451" srcset="https://cdn.thebittimes.com/images/2024/04/09/abb5c238ed472b01e38202f0c7e6dcb9.webp 750w, https://cdn.thebittimes.com/images/2024/04/09/abb5c238ed472b01e38202f0c7e6dcb9.webp 300w" sizes="(max-width: 750px) 100vw, 750px">
  <figcaption class="wp-element-caption"><em>Bitcoin price 7-day chart. Source: </em><em>Finbold</em>
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 <p class="paragraph">It is also worth noting that professional crypto trader Ali Martinez has recently observed that Bitcoin appeared to be breaking out of its symmetrical triangle chart pattern and that holding above $70,8000 would make $85,000 its next target, but the maiden crypto has dropped below this level.</p>
 <p class="paragraph">All things considered, Arthur Hayes might be right in his projection of a crypto fire sale around the BTC halving date but fewer new Bitcoins entering the market should decrease the potential sell pressure and increase network security, which should aid in the asset’s price increase in the longer term.</p>
 <p class="paragraph"><strong><em>Disclaimer:</em></strong><em> The content on this site should not be considered investment advice. Investing is speculative. When investing, your capital is at risk.</em></p>
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<p>Source: <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" target="_blank" href="https://thebittimes.com/arthur-hayes-predicts-bitcoin-will-slump-around-halving-here-s-why-tbt84882.html">https://thebittimes.com/arthur-hayes-predicts-bitcoin-will-slump-around-halving-here-s-why-tbt84882.html</a></p>

Arthur Hayes predicts Bitcoin will slump around halving; Here’s why

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