FOMC

Jerome Powell

Chair

Bitcoin

Bitcoin (<a href="https://cointelegraph.com/bitcoin-price">BTC</a>) rebounded 2% on April 4 as a broad risk-asset rally followed encouraging signals from the United States Federal Reserve.
<figure data-ct-non-breakable="true">
 <img src="https://s3.cointelegraph.com/uploads/2024-04/a5c32f66-b38b-46f0-b7f3-4dad6454e774.png" alt="" title="">
 <figcaption style="text-align: center;">
 BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: TradingView
 </figcaption>
</figure>
<h2 data-ct-non-breakable="true" id="fed-sees-rate-cut-at-some-point-this-year">Fed sees rate cut “at some point this year”</h2>
Data from <a href="https://subscription.cointelegraph.com/">Cointelegraph Markets Pro</a> and <a href="https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=BITSTAMP%3ABTCUSD" target="_blank" rel="noopener nofollow">TradingView</a> showed local BTC price highs of $67,510 on Bitstamp around the Wall Street open.
Bitcoin joined U.S. stock indexes in heading higher on the day, while gold cooled after setting new all-time highs above $2,300.
The day prior, Fed Chair Jerome Powell delivered a dovish tone on economic policy, suggesting that interest rate cuts — a key boon for risk assets — would come before the end of 2024.
“We have held our policy rate at its current level since last July,” he <a href="https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/powell20240403a.htm" target="_blank" rel="noopener nofollow">said</a> during a speech for the Stanford Business, Government and Society Forum at the Stanford Graduate School of Business in Stanford, California. 
<blockquote data-ct-non-breakable="true">
 “As shown in the individual projections the FOMC released two weeks ago, my colleagues and I continue to believe that the policy rate is likely at its peak for this tightening cycle. If the economy evolves broadly as we expect, most FOMC participants see it as likely to be appropriate to begin lowering the policy rate at some point this year.”
</blockquote>
Powell referred to the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings, the next of which is due in May.
The latest data from CME Group’s <a href="https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener nofollow">FedWatch Tool</a> nonetheless put the odds of a minimal 0.25% rate cut either at that meeting or the following one in June at 61% at best.
<figure data-ct-non-breakable="true">
 <img src="https://s3.cointelegraph.com/uploads/2024-04/d8402888-1c5d-4a46-8b71-69958bc94ca8.png" alt="" title="">
 <figcaption style="text-align: center;">
 Fed target rate probabilities. Source: CME Group
 </figcaption>
</figure>
Meanwhile, the latest initial U.S. jobless claims came in slightly above expectations, at 221,000 versus 214,000 expected, providing additional upward impetus for market movement.
<h2 id="rsi-stokes-btc-price-confidence">RSI stokes BTC price confidence</h2>
Analyzing the current Bitcoin market structure, popular trader Pierre <a href="https://twitter.com/pierre_crypt0/status/1775875847297130923" target="_blank" rel="noopener nofollow">noted</a> that the 200-period exponential moving average (EMA) on four-hour timeframes was providing support.
Related:&nbsp;<a href="https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-hedge-fiscal-policy-cathie-wood">Bitcoin is hedge against ‘horrible’ gov’t fiscal policy — Cathie Wood</a>
<figure data-ct-non-breakable="true">
 <img src="https://s3.cointelegraph.com/uploads/2024-04/95ec35a1-7b35-432f-ad57-7c23c7f9f23f.png" alt="" title="">
 <figcaption style="text-align: center;">
 BTC/USD 4-hour chart with 200EMA. Source: TradingView
 </figcaption>
</figure>
Optimistic as ever, fellow trader Jelle looked to promising signals on the daily chart as grounds to suspect upside continuation next.
Bitcoin’s relative strength index (RSI) crossed back above the key 50 point at the daily close. <a href="https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-resets-bull-market-btc-price-april-dip">As Cointelegraph reported</a><a href="https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-resets-bull-market-btc-price-april-dip"></a>, the daily RSI had been circling its lowest levels in several months.
“Bitcoin has locked in a hidden bullish divergence on the daily chart!” Jell&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/CryptoJelleNL/status/1775873102502568059" target="_blank" rel="noopener nofollow">told</a> followers on X.
<blockquote data-ct-non-breakable="true">
 “This divergence often shows up during pullbacks, during a strong bullish trend - signalling the next leg higher. Bring on $82,000.”
</blockquote>
<figure>
 <img src="https://s3.cointelegraph.com/uploads/2024-04/139643d2-5086-44db-a4b7-9847114359e7.png">
 <figcaption style="text-align: center;">
 BTC/USD with RSI data annotated chart. Source: Jelle/X
 </figcaption>
</figure>
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

Bitcoin taps $67.5K as 2% BTC price gains accompany US jobless claims

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