Based on the data and the unlocking schedule shown in the image, ASTER is experiencing a rally ahead of its mainnet launch, which is a common trend as anticipation builds within the community and investors.
However, it is important to consider the upcoming token unlock events starting on February 17, 2026, where 78.48 million ASTER tokens (about 0.98% of the total supply) will be unlocked monthly. Each unlock represents a significant amount of tokens entering the market, valued at approximately $56 million, which could increase selling pressure and potentially impact the price.
Given that the first unlock is just 5 days away from now, this event might create short-term volatility or a price correction. The rally could sustain until March if the market sentiment remains strong and the mainnet launch delivers positive developments, but the periodic token unlocks are likely to act as resistance points.