🚨 ASTER: The "Mainnet" Pump is a Trap. (Feb 17 Warning)
Retail is buying the "March Mainnet" rumor.
Smart Money is positioning for the February 17th Supply Shock.
You are looking at the chart. I am looking at the Vesting Schedule.
Here is why this rally likely flushes before it flies:
1. THE HIDDEN SUPPLY SHOCK (Feb 17) 🔓
- The News: Everyone is hyping the L1 Launch.
- The Data: On Feb 17, a massive 164.67 Million ASTER ($115M) unlocks.
- The Risk: This adds ~6.6% to the circulating supply overnight.
- Reality: Tokens usually pump into the unlock (now) and dump on the day.
2. THE "STAKING" DELAY (The Fine Print) ⏳
- The Trap: Traders are buying ASTER now to "Stake on Mainnet."
- The Truth: Staking does NOT go live in March. It is officially delayed to Q2.
- Result: The 164M tokens unlocking next week have no incentive to hold. They cannot earn yield yet. They will likely hit the bid.
3. THE TECHNICAL "TELL" (The Wick) 📉
- Signal: We just printed a 57.3% Upper Wick Rejection at $0.76.
- Translation: Insiders effectively sold the top.
- The Magnet: We have an unfilled "Fair Value Gap" at $0.59.
VERDICT:
I am Bullish on ASTER for Q2... but I am BEARISH for next week.
This rally is Exit Liquidity for the Feb 17 unlockers.
The Trade:
❌ Chasing at $0.71 (Gambling)
✅ Shorting the Unlock -> Covering at $0.60 (Sniping)
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🔔 The "Unlock Short" is Live.
I have set my limit orders to front-run the dump.
For the Exact Entry Price and Invalidation Level, tap my Profile and check the bio.