$XRP’s post-SEC rally hangover is real — and the data isn’t sugarcoating it ⚠


After ripping from $0.40 → $3.66 on legal optimism, XRP has retraced hard. Price is now hovering near $1.44, down ~61% from the peak, and structure still looks fragile.


📉 What stands out:

– Realized Cap Impulse has flipped negative → capital is leaving

– MVRV Z-Score sits right on the line between stabilization and deeper distribution

– NUPL is also at a transition point — slipping below could trigger more selling


At the same time, there’s a twist 👀

Spot data shows steady exchange outflows (≈ $89M last week), meaning many holders are still holding, not panic-selling.


Technically, XRP is sitting on a key demand zone — but upside follow-through is weak. Lose this area, and $1 becomes a very real magnet.


📌 Takeaway: XRP is at a make-or-break zone. Either demand absorbs supply here — or the market tests lower conviction.

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February 06, 2026 at 1:24 PM
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