#MorganStanley Sees $BTC in Fall Phase of Four-Year Cycle


Morgan Stanley strategists say the crypto market has entered the fall season in $BTC's four-year cycle, with institutional investors evaluating their position strategies ahead of potential market shifts.


Denny Galindo, investment strategist at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, said historical data indicates a consistent three-up, one-down rhythm in #Bitcoin's price cycles. He described the current period as the fall season, traditionally a time when investors assess their portfolios and consider rebalancing strategies.


The seasonal framework represents Wall Street's recognition of Bitcoin's cyclical patterns, treating digital assets similarly to commodities or liquidity-driven macro cycles. Galindo's analysis shows major financial institutions are incorporating structured timing strategies into their #crypto investment approaches.


$BTC fell below $99,000 on Nov. 5, dropping beneath its 365-day moving average, according to CryptoQuant head of research Julio Moreno. This technical indicator typically signals shifts in market momentum and is considered one of the most important metrics by analysts tracking cryptocurrency trends.

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November 12, 2025 at 11:38 AM
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