$BTC Price Tests Short-Term Holder Confidence in Air-Gap Zone Below $116K


$BTC’s retreat below $116,000 has pushed the market into a thinly traded region with reduced leverage and falling profitability metrics.


After hitting $123,000 in mid-July, $BTC dropped to $112,000 on July 31, breaking through a key supply cluster.


Short-term holders now face an average cost basis of around $116,900, creating near-term resistance as their profit share fell from 100% to 70%.


#SpotETF demand weakened with four consecutive days of outflows, marking the largest withdrawal streak since April.


U.S. #BitcoinETFs saw a 1,500 $BTC outflow on Aug. 5 before returning to $91.5 million in net inflows Wednesday.


Leverage has deflated as funding rates on perpetual swaps dropped below 0.10%, showing traders' reluctance to pay premiums for new long positions.


Glassnode characterizes current conditions as post-ATH indecisiveness, with neither capitulation nor confident #rebound signals present.


Roughly 120,000 $BTC changed hands during the dip, suggesting opportunistic buying despite the failure to reclaim lost support levels.


Sustained weakness below $116,000 could erode short-term holder confidence and invite a test of $110,000 support.


A decisive move outside the current range could determine the next major trend direction for the cryptocurrency.

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August 07, 2025 at 10:11 PM
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