In the trade standoff between the United States and the European Union, a new episode has reignited tensions. Indeed, Donald Trump, true to his protectionist approach, is once again wielding the threat of massive tariffs, this time on European wines and champagnes. The announcement of a 200 % tax on these products follows Brussels’s decision to raise tariffs on American whisky to 50 %.
A Trade Standoff Resumed
This new episode fits into a cycle of trade tensions initiated during his first term, marked by an aggressive taxation policy. The EU had already retaliated against American tariffs on steel and aluminum (25 %) with sanctions on several American products, including bourbon and motorcycles. Thus, the White House intends to retaliate with the same punitive logic.
The impact of this decision would be devastating for the European wine industry. Furthermore, the United States represents the largest export market for French wines and spirits, with a turnover of 3.8 billion euros in 2024, according to the Federation of Wine and Spirit Exporters of France (FEVS). A 200 % tax could lead to a collapse in sales and a major loss of competitiveness against local producers and South American wines.
Professionals in the sector denounce an instrumentalization of trade. “We are tired of being systematically sacrificed for issues unrelated to ours,” laments Nicolas Ozanam, General Director of FEVS. The European lobby Spirits Europe also calls for “stop using” the sector “as a bargaining chip in conflicts that have nothing to do with it.”
An Industry Held Hostage in a Geopolitical Conflict
While the President of the European Commission, Ursula von der Leyen, states that the EU is “open to negotiation,” the political response is being organized. François Bayrou, the French Prime Minister, immediately reacted: “We cannot let ourselves be overwhelmed by threats of this kind.” His Minister for Foreign Trade, Laurent Saint-Martin, insists: “We will not yield to threats and will always protect our sectors.”
His electoral base, particularly in whisky-producing states like Kentucky, applauds these protectionist measures. The European taxation on bourbon has been perceived as an attack on an emblematic industry of the United States. Trump aims to demonstrate his firmness against the EU while reinforcing his image as a defender of the American economy.
Previous customs conflicts have shown that these measures can quickly extend to other sectors. In 2018, the Trump administration had already imposed tariffs on French wine in the context of the Airbus-Boeing conflict. Today, the fear of a domino effect is being felt. A commercial escalation could impact other luxury industries, agricultural exports, or even the technology sector.
- American retaliatory tariffs could expand to other European products ;
- An increase in customs duties could slow down European companies’ investment in the United States ;
- The financial sector and currencies could be affected by trade uncertainty.