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Wintermute plans to foray into the on-chain prediction market, with its first betting pool focused on the U.S. presidential elections.
The crypto trading firm and market maker Wintermute <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://x.com/wintermute_t/status/1836049797540880779" target="_blank">disclosed</a> ongoing work on an on-chain betting platform, OutcomeMarket. The decentralized protocol will utilize Oracle technology from Chaos Labs to handle pricing and risk management.
According to the announcement, Wintermute’s prediction platform will launch with two tokens: TRUMP and HARRIS, representing the Republican and Democratic U.S. presidential candidates.
OutcomeMarket is said to debut on major blockchain networks like Ethereum (<a href="https://crypto.news/price/ethereum/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">ETH</a>), Coinbase’s Base, and layer-2 chain Arbitrum (<a href="https://crypto.news/price/arbitrum/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">ARB</a>). The web3 startup added that tokens will appear across decentralized finance ecosystems and exchanges to better the trading experience.
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 Tokens via OutcomeMarket will be usable in DeFi and listed on multiple trading venues, expanding utility and improving accessibility for a broader audience
 Wintermute on new U.S. election prediction platform
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 Own your outcome with OutcomeMarket Wintermute is developing a permissionless smart contract for a new US presidential election prediction market The market will be accessible across Ethereum, Base, and Arbitrum, supported by <a href="https://twitter.com/chaos_labs?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">@chaos_labs</a>’s Edge Proofs Oracle Debuting 2 tokens:… <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://t.co/N5IqvOqDaL" target="_blank">pic.twitter.com/N5IqvOqDaL</a>— Wintermute (@wintermute_t) <a href="https://twitter.com/wintermute_t/status/1836049797540880779?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">September 17, 2024</a>
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<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="wintermute-eyes-polymarket-s-arena-but-cftc-oversight-looms">Wintermute eyes Polymarket’s arena, but CFTC oversight looms</h2>
Wintermute’s latest venture could look to take market share from Polymarket, one of the largest on-chain outcome betting platforms, with over $1 billion in election-related wagers.
Bloomberg <a href="https://crypto.news/bloomberg-to-onboard-polymarket-election-data/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">integrated</a> Polymarket’s election data into its terminal, further legitimizing decentralized prediction markets. This collaboration occurred despite regulations preventing U.S. bettors from using Polymarket.
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission has taken a firm stance against election betting contracts, arguing that big-money wagers may influence outcomes.
CFTC lawyers <a href="https://crypto.news/cftc-scrutinizing-kalshi-congressional-control-contracts-to-ensure-fairness-and-compliance/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">attempted</a> to delay Kalshi from listing its prediction market, but a judge <a href="https://crypto.news/kalshi-wins-case-against-cftc-still-faces-shutdown/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">overruled</a> it. Still, the regulator continues to challenge Kalshi in court.
In a Sept. 17 speech at Georgetown University, CFTC chair Rostin Behnam said the watchdog would also scrutinize offshore betting platforms with U.S. users. Behnam emphasized that the agency’s proposed ban on prediction markets is part of a fight against what it views as illegal activity and market manipulation.
Read more: <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://crypto.news/kalshi-wins-case-against-cftc-still-faces-shutdown/"> Tough times for prediction markets: Kalshi wins case against CFTC, still faces shutdown </a>

Wintermute to launch Polymarket competitor with Chaos Labs

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