Bitcoin

when

James

Bitcoin (<a href="https://cointelegraph.com/bitcoin-price" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">BTC</a>) price rose back above $70,000 for the first time in a week, recovering from the streak of negative flows into spot BTC exchange-traded funds (ETF) last week.
Data from <a href="https://subscription.cointelegraph.com/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Cointelegraph Markets Pro</a> and <a href="https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/BTCGBP/?exchange=BINANCE" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">TradingView</a> shows the BTC price climbed from an opening of $67,212 to an intra-day high of $70,306 on March 25. At the time of publication, BTC was trading at $70,268, up 7.5% over the last 24 hours.
<figure><img src="https://s3.cointelegraph.com/uploads/2024-03/2f49d96e-0428-42ee-9962-2ca21436f9d5.png">
 <figcaption style="text-align: center;">BTC/USD daily chart. Source: <a href="https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/BTCGBP/?exchange=BINANCE" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">TradingView</a>
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Bitcon’s recovery follows a period of price downturn that has seen the cryptocurrency fall as low as $60,771, corroborated by <a href="https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-etf-demand-could-rise-as-prices-drop-crypto-analyst-suggests" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">negative ETF inflows</a>. Could the surge in multiple BTC price metrics be a sign of things to come?
<h2 id="weekly-outflows-into-spot-bitcoin-etfs-totaled-904-million">Weekly outflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs totaled $904 million</h2>
Last week “marked the end of a 7-week cycle” of inflows into crypto investment products as investors withdrew more than $942 million, according to a March 25 <a href="https://blog.coinshares.com/volume-175-digital-asset-fund-flows-weekly-report-6af2a10c0b30" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">report</a> by CoinShares.
The report noted that last week marked the “first outflow following a record 7-week run of inflows totaling US$12.3bn.”
<figure><img src="https://s3.cointelegraph.com/uploads/2024-03/8688c4b7-b838-42f0-aff2-78a70961df51.png">
 <figcaption style="text-align: center;">Source: <a href="https://x.com/CoinSharesCo/status/1772219388172623890?s=20" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">CoinShares</a>
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The crypto asset management firm attributed the large outflows to the <a href="https://cointelegraph.com/news/is-bitcoin-price-going-to-crash-again" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">recent drawdown</a> in crypto prices, which “wiped US$10bn off total assets under management (AuM) but remain above prior cycle highs at US$88bn.”
CoinShares analyst James Butterfill said,
<blockquote>
 “We believe the recent price correction led to hesitancy from investors, leading to much lower inflows into new ETF issuers in the US, which saw US$1.1bn inflows, partially offsetting incumbent Grayscale’s significant US$2bn outflows last week.”
</blockquote>
The poor sentiment was mostly focused on Bitcoin, which accounted for “96% of the flows” totaling $904 million, ”while short-bitcoin also saw minor outflows totaling US$3.7m.”
<figure><img src="https://s3.cointelegraph.com/uploads/2024-03/066e3861-42c0-4739-93b1-77c95326630f.png">
 <figcaption style="text-align: center;">Weekly flows by asset. Source: CoinShares
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Bloomberg analyst James Seyffart said that the large outflows witnessed by the spot Bitcoin ETFs last week were probably driven by <a href="https://cointelegraph.com/news/genesis-gbtc-shares-bankruptcy-court" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">bankrupt lender Genesis selling GBTC shares</a>.
<figure><img src="https://s3.cointelegraph.com/uploads/2024-03/35dabee9-611a-4a09-bf07-a74cdd97e54e.png">
 <figcaption style="text-align: center;">Source: <a href="https://x.com/veritasHODLco/status/1772255920757580111?s=20" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">James Seyffart</a>
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<h2 id="spike-in-bitcoin-age-consumed-metric">Spike in Bitcoin Age Consumed metric</h2>
Bitcoin has recently experienced a notable surge in its Age Consumed metric over the past few days. According to data from market intelligence firm Santiment, the number of dormant BTC addresses moving BTC surged to 162.89 million on March 23, the highest in over two years.
<figure><img src="https://s3.cointelegraph.com/uploads/2024-03/15a8fcd6-d24a-4d36-b17c-d3932b08e92b.png">
 <figcaption style="text-align: center;">Bitcoin: Age consumed. Source: Santiment
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Age Consumed is a metric that tracks the movement of previously idle BTC coins. The metric shows the number of BTC changing addresses daily multiplied by the number of days since they moved. Spikes signal a potential increase in price volatility.
This spike in Age Consumed suggests that previously dormant addresses holding <a href="https://cointelegraph.com/learn/what-is-bitcoin-a-beginners-guide-to-the-worlds-first-cryptocurrency#:~:text=Bitcoin%20is%20digital%20money%2C%20also,independently%20of%20any%20central%20authority." rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Bitcoin</a> are now re-entering circulation, indicating a revival in network activity. This was evidenced by a surge in transaction volume, as shown in the in chart below.
<figure><img src="https://s3.cointelegraph.com/uploads/2024-03/c1f8238f-c413-4576-925f-2268f45e9aba.png">
 <figcaption style="text-align: center;">Bitcoin transaction volume. Source: Santiment
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As Bitcoin’s Age Consumed metric grows, transaction volume increases, a precursor to potential price jumps in the BTC price.
Related: <a href="https://cointelegraph.com/news/btc-price-69k-bitcoin-short-liquidation-zone" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">BTC price battles for key $69K as Bitcoin nears short liquidation zone</a>
<h2 id="is-an-altcoin-season-coming">Is an altcoin season coming?</h2>
The CoinShares report noted that altcoins “fared well” last week, “seeing a net inflows of US$16m.” Most notable were Polkadot (<a href="https://cointelegraph.com/polkadot-price-index" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">DOT</a>) with $5 million inflows, Avalanche (<a href="https://cointelegraph.com/avalanche-price-index" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">AVAX</a>) with $2.9 million and Litecoin (<a href="https://cointelegraph.com/ltc-price-index" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">LTC</a>) with $2 million.
As such, a number of large-cap altcoins have outperformed Bitcoin over the last week. They were led by BNB Chains’ <a href="https://cointelegraph.com/binance-coin-price-index" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">BNB</a>, Dogecoin (<a href="https://cointelegraph.com/doge-price-index" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">DOGE</a>), and Toncoin (TON, which have produced 7%, 20% and 46% gains in the last seven days, according to data from CoinMarketCap.
Although Bitcoin has only risen 4.5% over the same period, it has outperformed most altcoins over the same period, including Ethereum.
At the time of publication, the total crypto market was resting at $1.191 trillion, 43% below the $1.707 peak reached in November 2021.
<figure><img src="https://s3.cointelegraph.com/uploads/2024-03/898b2432-5657-4d81-b8b4-75f4221fdfee.png">
 <figcaption style="text-align: center;">Total altcoins market capitalization. Source: <a href="https://www.tradingview.com/x/UahGLaqU/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">TradingView</a>
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The weekly relative strength index is in the overbought region at 83, suggesting that the altcoin market still favors the upside.
Independent analyst and X user ChiefRat takes notice of these overbought conditions and <a href="https://x.com/ChiefraFba/status/1772251186453754090?s=20" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">says</a> that although he expects “the #altcoins market cap to make a new ATH in 2024,” there could be a test of the support at $960 billion.
<blockquote>
 “For now, we are moving mid-range. Resistance 1.25T, support $960B.”
</blockquote>
Adding this, popular analyst Sheldon The Sniper <a href="https://x.com/Sheldon_Sniper/status/1771097009102966859?s=20" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">said</a>, “A squeeze from BTC and a drop in dominance will create a MEGA altcoin squeeze and rally,” adding that the market is “one step closer to a true altseason.”
However, data from CoinMarketCap shows that BTC still dominated the market at 51.77%. Moreover, the Altcoin Season Index by Blockchain Center has dropped to 49, meaning that the <a href="https://cointelegraph.com/news/altseason-is-coming-or-at-least-data-suggests-that-its-close" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">altcoin season is not here yet</a>.
<figure><img src="https://s3.cointelegraph.com/uploads/2024-03/ea151720-0f35-4962-af2c-0816f12b5f04.png">
 <figcaption style="text-align: center;">Altcoin season index. Source: Blockchain Center
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Blockchain Center says an altcoin season can only be declared when “75% of the top 50 coins performed better than Bitcoin over the last season (90 days).”
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

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