Bitcoin ETF

Bank AI

Bitcoin

when

Standard

Over the past 48 hours, Bitcoin’ (<a href="https://cointelegraph.com/bitcoin-price">BTC</a>) price dropped 13% from its new all-time high of $73,835 to briefly trade near $60,000. The correction was caused by <a href="https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-price-drops-9-percent-ath-market-shows-signs-overheated">overheated market conditions</a> in what analysts have christened a “pre-halving retrace” ahead of the Bitcoin halving event that is roughly 30 days away.&nbsp;
<figure data-ct-non-breakable="true">
 <img src="https://s3.cointelegraph.com/uploads/2024-03/46e27510-ab8e-491d-8b10-e1cf14251b3c.png" alt="" title="">
 <figcaption style="text-align: center;">
 BTC/USD daily chart. Source: TradingView
 </figcaption>
</figure>
However, a report by CryptoQuant shows that the <a href="https://cointelegraph.com/news/4-signs-bitcoin-price-starting-next-bull-run">Bitcoin bull cycle</a> is not over, given the relatively low level of investment flows from new investors and price valuation metrics still below levels seen in past market tops. 
The on-chain data analytic firm’s “Weekly Crypto Report” reveals that 48% of Bitcoin investment is coming from short-term holders. The “bull cycle typically ends with 84%–92% of investment” from these new investors, according to CryptoQuant analysts. 
<blockquote data-ct-non-breakable="true">
 “The Bitcoin bull cycle is still far from over, as shown by the relatively low level of new investment flows.”
</blockquote>
<figure data-ct-non-breakable="true">
 <img src="https://s3.cointelegraph.com/uploads/2024-03/3c9c1d35-da6b-4ec3-9eb7-643e34afd298.png" alt="" title="">
 <figcaption style="text-align: center;">
 Bitcoin realized cap — OTXO age bands percentage. Source: CryptoQuant
 </figcaption>
</figure>
The chart above also reveals that this metric has “reached levels similar to mid-2019 (52%) when Bitcoin also experienced a meaningful correction,” something that short-term traders should watch out for. 
The CryptoQuant report also revealed that valuation metrics are still below levels consistent with past market tops.
<blockquote data-ct-non-breakable="true">
 “CryptoQuant P&amp;L Index is still outside a market top zone (red area) and above the index’s 1-year moving average.”
</blockquote>
<figure data-ct-non-breakable="true">
 <img src="https://s3.cointelegraph.com/uploads/2024-03/eebc7a27-9e87-4108-8cb4-20b704770ab1.png" alt="" title="">
 <figcaption style="text-align: center;">
 Bitcoin: CryptoQuant profit and loss (PnL) index. Source: CryptoQuant
 </figcaption>
</figure>
Related: <a href="https://cointelegraph.com/news/btc-price-dip-17-5-week-bitcoin-etf-net-outflows-near-500m">BTC price dip hits 17.5% as week’s Bitcoin ETF net outflows near $500M</a>
CryptoQuant’s PnL index is made up of three on-chain indicators that show the profitability of Bitcoin. The index has previously indicated that the crypto market will enter a bull cycle in 2024. However, the chart above shows that the current level is slightly below those observed when the market peaked during the 2013, 2017 and 2021 bull runs. 
<h2 id="the-bitcoin-halving-event-is-now-just-a-month-away">The Bitcoin halving event is now just a month away</h2>
Apart from the metrics discussed above, the upcoming <a href="https://cointelegraph.com/news/is-the-bitcoin-halving-priced-in-analysts-compare-btc-price-targets-vs-previous-halvings">Bitcoin halving event</a> is a major driver expected to bolster BTC price, ushering in a parabolic uptrend. 
According to CoinMarketCap’s halving countdown, Bitcoin’s next halving event is less than 31 days away. 
<figure data-ct-non-breakable="true">
 <img src="https://s3.cointelegraph.com/uploads/2024-03/ee3bd51e-84ce-4554-a6b8-47f761c1cbce.png" alt="" title="">
 <figcaption style="text-align: center;">
 Bitcoin halving countdown. Source: CoinMarketcap
 </figcaption>
</figure>
With approximately 4,450 blocks to go, the estimated time remaining would see Bitcoin’s fourth halving take place on April 20, with the miner block rewards reducing by 50% from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC.
Historically, Bitcoin’s supply halving has been associated with an uptick in BTC’s price. The halving has always preceded a significant bull run in the Bitcoin market. 
Standard Chartered Bank has made a bold prediction, raising its forecast for BTC price from $100,000 to $150,000 in 2024. 
In an investment note to clients on Monday, March 18, Standard Chartered Bank analysts wrote:
<blockquote data-ct-non-breakable="true">
 “For 2024, given the sharper-than-expected price gains year-to-date, we now see potential for the price to reach the $150,000 level by year-end, up from our previous estimate of $100,000.”
</blockquote>
The bank also predicted BTC’s price would reach the cycle top of $250,000 in 2025 before settling at around $200,000.
Although the bank’s analysis is not entirely based on the halving event, it draws on the impressive performance of the <a href="https://cointelegraph.com/news/first-spot-bitcoin-etf-in-us-begins-trading-in-pre-market-with-double-digit-gains">spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds</a>&nbsp;since they began trading on Jan. 11 and the different dynamics they bring to the market this halving cycle.
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

Bitcoin bull cycle is ‘far from over’ thanks to the halving — CryptoQuant research

목차

Cointelegraph

2024년 3월 21일에 게재된 다른 기사

Is Next Rally Going To Be As Big As A Skyscraper In TAO Crypto?

Cardano On The Brink: Crypto Analyst Predicts 1,800% Price Explosion To $12

Bitcoin Faces Potential Downturn As Profits Are Taken, Glassnode Data Shows

'DOGE Finally Looks Ready To Rip Higher,' Says Crypto Analyst Following Period Of Consolidation

TON Foundation Kicks Off The Open League with $115 Million in Community Rewards

Web3 Altcoins for 1,000% ROI: Immutable X, The Sandbox, and Scorpion Casino

무료 뉴스레터에 가입하여 매일 최신 암호화폐 소식을 받아보세요!