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In a bid to shed light on Bitcoin’s potential price recovery, renowned Bitcoin proponent Samson Mow has revealed a list of crucial macro indicators that could sway the cryptocurrency’s outlook. Mow’s projections, which include a $1 million price target, hinge on factors such as Spot Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) inflows and the network hashrate.
With <a href="https://www.coingecko.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Bitcoin currently trading at $43,428,</a> a 3.3% increase in the past 24 hours, it remains 38% below its all-time high of $68,789. However, Mow believes that the forthcoming halving event, coupled with the approval and increased inflows of spot BTC ETFs, could propel the cryptocurrency’s price to new heights.
<h2 id="strong-mow-s-crucial-bitcoin-indicators-strong">Mow’s Crucial Bitcoin Indicators</h2>
The first indicator on Mow’s list is Bitcoin Spot ETF inflows. With the recent introduction of <a href="https://bitcoinist.com/the-ballad-of-crypto-and-bitcoin-etf-approval/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Bitcoin ETFs</a> in the United States, increased inflows into these products could help mitigate the impact of retail price sell-offs. Mow believes that significant capital inflow into spot ETFs is vital for his bullish projection of Bitcoin reaching $1 million in the future.
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet">
 These are the <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Bitcoin?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" target="_blank">#Bitcoin</a> macro indicators I’m looking at:
 <img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/14.0.0/72x72/2b06.png" alt="⬆" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;"> ETF inflows <img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/14.0.0/72x72/2b06.png" alt="⬆" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;"> Hashrate <img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/14.0.0/72x72/2b06.png" alt="⬆" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;"> Finex whale accumulation <img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/14.0.0/72x72/2b06.png" alt="⬆" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;"> 200 WMA trend <img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/14.0.0/72x72/2b06.png" alt="⬆" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;"> Tether USDt AUM <img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/14.0.0/72x72/2b06.png" alt="⬆" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;"> Govt interest payments on debt <img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/14.0.0/72x72/2b06.png" alt="⬆" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;"> Debt GDP ratios <img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/14.0.0/72x72/2b06.png" alt="⬆" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;"> Nation-state Bitcoin adoption <img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/14.0.0/72x72/2b06.png" alt="⬆" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;"> Real inflation <img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/14.0.0/72x72/2b06.png" alt="⬆" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;"> M3 money
 — Samson Mow (@Excellion) <a href="https://twitter.com/Excellion/status/1751754604130517121?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" target="_blank">January 28, 2024</a>
</blockquote>
Surprisingly, Mow also includes Tether (USDT) Asset Under Management (AUM) as an essential indicator. The stablecoin’s role as a key liquidity base for BTC could significantly impact the cryptocurrency’s price.
Alongside these on-chain indicators, Mow emphasizes the significance of factors such as the government’s interest payments on debt, Debt GDP ratios, nation-state Bitcoin adoption, real inflation, and M3 Money. These indicators, according to Mow, converge to influence the top crypto’s long-term price outlook.
<h2 id="strong-spot-btc-etfs-insights-developments-strong">Spot BTC ETFs: Insights, Developments</h2>
While Mow’s insights provide valuable perspectives, the cryptocurrency market remains highly volatile and unpredictable. However, recent developments surrounding spot BTC ETFs have been noteworthy. Ongoing outflows from Grayscale GBTC, although reduced compared to earlier stages, have reached a substantial $2.2 billion. This decrease in outflows could indicate growing interest and confidence in spot BTC ETFs.
Moreover, the global attention surrounding spot BTC ETFs is evident as Hong Kong prepares to release and approve its own version of the product. Harvest Hong Kong, one of China’s largest fund companies, has already applied for spot BTC ETF approval from the Securities and Futures Commission (SFC). In the coming weeks, regulators worldwide may express interest in supporting these ETFs to attract institutional capital.
As Bitcoin continues its journey toward price recovery, Mow’s indicators offer valuable insights into potential catalysts. Nevertheless, investors should approach the market with caution and conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView

$1 Million Bitcoin Oracle Shares Critical Price Indicators For BTC Aficionados

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