Savvy

2024

Bitcoin

when

<ul> 
 <li><strong>Bitcoin’s recent slowdown may delay its next peak until 2025.</strong></li> 
 <li><strong>Historical cycle analysis suggests the next high could occur between late 2024 and early 2025.</strong></li> 
</ul>  
<h2 id="bitcoin-s-bull-run-delayed-until-2025">Bitcoin’s Bull Run: Delayed Until 2025?</h2> 
<p><a href="https://www.ethnews.com/us-government-and-dormant-whale-stir-bitcoin-market-with-9-8-billion-yen-transfer-meta-title/">Bitcoin</a> has recently reached new all-time highs, sparking hopes for an extended bull market. However, it faced a pullback, raising questions about when we can expect the leading cryptocurrency to peak given the current cycle’s apparent slowdown.</p> 
<h2 id="the-current-cycle-slowing-down">The Current Cycle: Slowing Down</h2> 
<p>In mid-March 2024, <a href="https://www.ethnews.com/peter-schiffs-warning-are-bitcoin-etf-investors-at-risk-compared-to-gold/">Bitcoin</a> surged to new heights, advancing 260 days ahead of its typical post-halving cycle. However, after two months of consolidation, this acceleration has significantly tapered off.</p> 
<p>Renowned cryptocurrency analyst Rekt Capital suggests that if this deceleration continues, the current cycle may gradually realign with the traditional pattern, where <a href="https://www.ethnews.com/impact-of-decreasing-hash-rate-on-bitcoin-mining-challenges/">Bitcoin</a> peaks 518 to 546 days post-halving.</p> 
<p>Rather than focusing solely on the halving event, using previous all-time highs as reference points might provide better insights into anticipating the bull market’s peak. Historical cycle analysis indicates <a href="https://www.ethnews.com/potential-market-movements-bitcoin-faces-short-squeeze-amid-rising-short-positions/">Bitcoin</a> typically reaches a bullish peak 266 to 315 days after surpassing its prior all-time high. Since Bitcoin crossed this threshold in mid-March 2024, it’s reasonable to expect the next peak between late November 2024 and late January 2025.</p> 
<h2 id="extending-upward-cycles-a-new-trend">Extending Upward Cycles: A New Trend</h2> 
<p>Despite the initial cycle acceleration, a retrospective analysis reveals an intriguing trend: <a href="https://www.ethnews.com/will-bitcoin-hold-60k-a-closer-look-as-options-expiry-looms/">Bitcoin</a> is spending more time above its old records before setting new highs. In 2013, this duration was 268 days, increasing to 280 days in 2017 (+14 days), and to 315 days in 2021 (+35 days). Extrapolating this trend suggests that the next peak could occur between mid-December 2024 and early March 2025, or 280 to 350 days after exceeding the previous record.</p> 
<p>Should the current cycle’s slowdown persist, <a href="https://www.ethnews.com/the-mysterious-500000-bitcoin-donation-to-julian-assange-potential-donors-revealed/">Bitcoin</a> might re-synchronize with traditional post-halving cycles. In this scenario, the next bullish peak, based on the 518 to 546-day post-halving trend observed in previous cycles, could shift to mid-September or mid-October 2025.</p> 
<h2 id="strategic-patience-in-bitcoin-investment">Strategic Patience in Bitcoin Investment</h2> 
<p>Although the euphoria at the start of 2024 raised hopes for a near-term <a href="https://www.ethnews.com/willy-woo-demystifies-recent-bitcoin-rise-impact-of-algorithms-over-real-market-demand/">Bitcoin</a> bull market peak, a thorough analysis of past cycles and current dynamics necessitates patience. Unless an unlikely acceleration occurs, the next all-time high is not expected before the end of 2024 and more likely in 2025.</p> 
<p>Savvy investors should adopt a long-term perspective, avoiding short-term market fluctuations. A strategic and disciplined approach will be key to fully harnessing <a href="https://www.ethnews.com/mt-gox-to-begin-repayment-in-bitcoin-and-bitcoin-cash-starting-july/">Bitcoin</a>’s growth potential in the coming years.</p> 
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<p>The post <a href="https://www.ethnews.com/bitcoin-bull-run-delayed-until-2025-insights-and-predictions/">Bitcoin Bull Run Delayed Until 2025? Insights and Predictions</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.ethnews.com">ETHNews</a>.</p>

Bitcoin Bull Run Delayed Until 2025? Insights and Predictions

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