Bitcoin (BTC) traders want to convert the $36,000 level to support, but will failure to do this kick off a market-wide correction?Bitcoin’s rally stalled near $36,000, but the bulls have not hurried to book profits. According to...
Bitcoin (BTC) traders want to convert the $36,000 level to support, but will failure to do this kick off a market-wide correction?
Bitcoin’s rally stalled near $36,000, but the bulls have not hurried to book profits. According to Glassnode Analysis, the Long-Term Holder metric, which addresses holding Bitcoin for at least 155 days, supply is near an all-time high, while the Short-Term Holder, addresses holding coins for less than 155 days, supply is near an all-time low, indicating tightening Bitcoin supply.
Although the long-term looks positive, there could be fireworks in the short term. Bitcoin derivatives markets have seen a massive build-up of open interest, rising above $16 billion at the time of writing, per CoinGlass data. J. A. Maartunn, a contributor to on-chain analytics platform CryptoQuant, highlighted on X (previously Twitter) that increases in open interest above $12.2 billion have previously resulted in a minimum dip of 20%.
While Bitcoin risks a decline soon, traders have started accumulating select altcoins. That has resulted in solid rallies in several altcoins, which have broken out of long basing patterns and are showing signs of starting a new uptrend. Altcoins may witness bouts of profit-booking but are likely to remain in focus as long as Bitcoin does not crumble below $30,000.
What are the critical support levels in Bitcoin need to hold for the uptrend to continue? Will the altcoin rally sustain, or is it time to book profits?
Let’s analyse the charts of the top 10 cryptocurrencies to find out.
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Bitcoin (BTC) price analysis
Bitcoin continues to trade inside a narrow ascending channel pattern, indicating that buyers are cautious at the current levels.
The upsloping 20-day exponential moving average ($33,612) and the relative strength index (RSI) in the overbought zone indicate that the path of least resistance is to the upside. If buyers propel the price above the channel, it will suggest that the bulls are back in the driver’s seat. That could clear the path for a potential rally to $40,000. This level is likely to attract strong selling by the bears.
On the contrary, if the price turns down and plunges below the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that the bulls are booking profits. The BTC/USDT pair could drop to $32,400 and eventually to $31,000.
Ether (ETH) price analysis
Ether has been slowly moving higher toward the significant resistance at $2,000. This is an important level to watch out for as the bears stalled the up-move at $2,000 on two previous occasions in May and July.
If the ETH/USDT pair does not give up much ground from $2,000, it will suggest that the bulls hold on to their positions as they anticipate another leg higher. There is a minor resistance at $2,200, but if this level is scaled, the up-move may pick up momentum and skyrocket toward $3,500.
Instead, if the price turns down from the current level and breaks below the 20-day EMA ($1,800), the next stop will likely be $1,746.
BNB price analysis
Sellers will try to pull the price down to the 20-day EMA ($232), a necessary level to watch.
If the price rebounds off this level with strength, it will suggest that the sentiment remains positive, and traders view the dips as a buying opportunity. The BNB/USDT pair could then travel to $265, where bears may pose a substantial challenge again.
Contrarily, if the price turns down and breaks below the 20-day EMA, it will indicate that the bears are back in the game.
XRP price analysis
XRP climbed above the $0.67 resistance on Nov. 6, but the bulls could not surmount the next barrier at $0.74.
That may have tempted short-term bulls to book profits, which pulled the price below $0.67 on Nov. 7. The long tail on the day’s candlestick shows that lower levels continue to attract buyers. If the price remains above $0.63, it will improve the prospects of a retest of $0.74. Above this level, the XRP/USDT pair may rise to $0.85 and then to $1.
Contrary to this assumption, if the price breaks below $0.63, it will signal that the bullish momentum has weakened. The pair could then slip to the 20-day EMA ($0.60).
Solana (SOL) price analysis
Solana has been consolidating in an uptrend. The price is between the overhead resistance at $48 and the support at $38.
Both moving averages are sloping up, and the RSI is in the overbought zone, indicating that the bulls have the upper hand. The price could climb to $48, which may witness a tough battle between the bulls and the bears. If bulls overcome this obstacle, the SOL/USDT pair could jump to $60.
Bears must sink and sustain the price below the 20-day EMA ($36.30) if they want to make a comeback. That could start a deeper correction to the 50-day SMA ($27.35).
Cardano (ADA) price analysis
Cardano has been in a strong uptrend for the past few days. The price reached $0.38 on Nov. 6, where the bulls will likely face solid resistance from the bears.
The price pulled back on Nov. 7, but a minor positive is that the bulls purchased at lower levels, as seen from the long tail on the candlestick. Buying indicates that the bulls expect the overhead resistance to be scaled.
If buyers drive and sustain the price above $0.38, the ADA/USDT pair could start the next leg of the uptrend to $0.42 and subsequently to $0.46. This optimistic view will be invalidated soon if the price breaks below $0.33.
Dogecoin (DOGE) price analysis
Buyers are trying to shove Dogecoin above $0.08. The previous attempt in July had fizzled out at this level; hence, the bears will again try to guard $0.08 with vigour.
The upsloping 20-day EMA ($0.07) and the RSI in the positive territory indicate that bulls have the edge. If buyers do not give up much ground from $0.08, it will increase the likelihood of a break above it. The DOGE/USDT pair could surge toward the psychologically crucial level of $0.10.
Bears must swiftly yank the price back below the 20-day EMA if they want to prevent the up-move. That could signal a range-bound action between $0.06 and $0.08 for some time.
Toncoin (TON) price analysis
Toncoin surged above the overhead resistance of $2.59 on Nov. 8, indicating that bulls are in control.
The price action of the past few months resulted in a cup and handle formation, which was completed on a break and closed above $2.59. This bullish setup has a target objective of $4.03.
However, the bears are unlikely to give up easily. They will try to tug and sustain the price below the breakout level of $2.59. If they manage to do that quickly, it may trap several aggressive bulls who could rush to the exit. The TON/USDT pair could start a sharp correction to $2.31.
Chainlink (LINK) price analysis
Chainlink has been in an uptrend for the past few days. After a brief consolidation, the bulls asserted their supremacy and resumed the up-move on Nov. 5.
The rally has reached the resistance at $13.50, which may act as a temporary roadblock. If buyers bulldoze their way through, the LINK/USDT pair may jump to $15 and, after that, to $18. The bears are expected to defend this level fiercely.
The vital support to watch on the downside is the 20-day EMA ($11.18). A break and close below this support will indicate that the bullish momentum may be reducing.
Polygon (MATIC) price analysis
Polygon pierced the overhead resistance at $0.70 on Nov. 6, indicating that the bulls are in the driver’s seat.
The bears tried to pull the price back below the breakout level of $0.70 on Nov. 7, but the bulls held their ground. This suggests that the bulls have flipped the level into support. That started the next leg of the uptrend toward $0.80. This level may act as a minor hurdle, but the MATIC/USDT pair could reach $0.90 if crossed.
The rally of the past few days has pushed the RSI into the overbought territory, cautioning of a possible consolidation or correction in the near term. The pair may then drop to the 20-day EMA ($0.66).