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Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin Newsom24.85%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez8.95%Kamala Harris8.75%Jon Ossoff6.35%Josh Shapiro4.95%Pete Buttigieg4.25%Andy Beshear2.55%Rahm Emanuel2.45%Mark Kelly2.15%James Talarico1.95%Ro Khanna1.75%J.B. Pritzker1.65%Michelle Obama1.45%Jon Stewart1.25%Gretchen Whitmer1.25%Wes Moore1.25%Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1.25%Stephen A. Smith1.05%Cory Booker0.95%Mark Cuban0.95%Roy Cooper0.95%Chelsea Clinton0.85%John Fetterman0.85%Graham Platner0.85%Chris Murphy0.85%Oprah Winfrey0.75%Barack Obama0.75%Gina Raimondo0.75%Raphael Warnock0.75%Bernie Sanders0.75%Liz Cheney0.75%Zohran Mamdani0.75%Ruben Gallego0.75%Jared Polis0.75%MrBeast0.75%LeBron James0.75%Hillary Clinton0.75%George Clooney0.65%Beto O’Rourke0.65%Tim Walz0.65%Andrew Yang0.65%Phil Murphy0.65%Hunter Biden0.65%Kim Kardashian0.65%Jasmine Crockett0.65%Jul 11, 18:41 pm
VolR$ 5,81B
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. Vance36.15%Marco Rubio23.75%Tucker Carlson6.75%Ron DeSantis4.65%Donald Trump Jr.2.55%Donald Trump2.25%Thomas Massie1.55%Glenn Youngkin1.15%Vivek Ramaswamy1.15%Tulsi Gabbard1.05%Rand Paul0.95%Marjorie Taylor Greene0.95%Elon Musk0.95%Ivanka Trump0.95%Brian Kemp0.85%Josh Hawley0.85%Katie Britt0.85%Ted Cruz0.85%Byron Donalds0.85%Nikki Haley0.85%Steve Bannon0.85%Kim Kardashian0.85%Tom Brady0.85%John Thune0.75%Greg Abbott0.75%Robert F. Kennedy Jr.0.75%Elise Stefanik0.75%Matt Gaetz0.75%Eric Trump0.75%Joe Kent0.75%Pete Hegseth0.75%Sarah Huckabee Sanders0.75%Erika Kirk0.75%Kristi Noem0.65%Mike Pence0.65%Jul 11, 19:42 pm
VolR$ 3,19B
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance18.65%Gavin Newsom16.15%Marco Rubio13.65%Kamala Harris6.25%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez5.15%Jon Ossoff3.35%Tucker Carlson3.35%Josh Shapiro3.05%Thomas Massie3.05%Ron DeSantis2.45%Donald Trump2.15%Pete Buttigieg2.05%Andy Beshear1.65%Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1.45%JB Pritzker1.35%Donald Trump Jr.1.25%Elon Musk0.95%Gretchen Whitmer0.95%Stephen Smith0.95%Ivanka Trump0.95%Jamie Dimon0.95%Greg Abbott0.95%Michelle Obama0.95%Nikki Haley0.85%Ro Khanna0.85%James Talarico0.85%Wes Moore0.75%Glenn Youngkin0.75%Vivek Ramaswamy0.75%Tulsi Gabbard0.75%Zohran Mamdani0.75%Eric Trump0.65%Tim Walz0.65%LeBron James0.65%Pete Hegseth0.65%Kim Kardashian0.65%Jul 11, 19:11 pm
VolR$ 2,98B
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
December 3166.5%
July 3139.5%
June 3030.5%
June 1519%
May 3110.5%
May 221.95%
April 30No
April 22No
April 24No
May 15No
May 8No
May 11No
May 13No
Apr 08, 16:23 pm
VolR$ 625,19M
Netanyahu out by...?
December 3143.5%
June 303.15%
May 310.65%
March 31No
April 30No
Jul 24, 23:47 pm
VolR$ 608,47M
Monthly
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
Gavin Newsom24%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez11%
Kamala Harris9.4%
Jon Ossoff7.1%
Rahm Emanuel6.2%
Pete Buttigieg4.7%
Josh Shapiro4.7%
Andy Beshear3.7%
Mark Kelly3.5%
J.B. Pritzker2.9%
James Talarico2.6%
Wes Moore2.3%
Graham Platner2.1%
Ro Khanna1.9%
Jon Stewart1.7%
Michelle Obama1.6%
Gretchen Whitmer1.2%
Mitch Landrieu1%
Stephen A. Smith0.9%
Cory Booker0.8%
Mark Cuban0.8%
Ruben Gallego0.7%
Chris Murphy0.7%
Elissa Slotkin0.5%
Raphael Warnock0.5%
Dwayne Johnson0.4%
Jamie Dimon0.4%
Bernie Sanders0.4%
Andrew Yang0.4%
Zohran Mamdani0.3%
Amy Klobuchar0.3%
Jared Polis0.3%
Barack Obama0.2%
Gina Raimondo0.2%
Hunter Biden0.2%
John Fetterman0.2%
Hillary Clinton0.2%
Roy Cooper0.2%
Tim Walz0.1%
Liz Cheney0.1%
Phil Murphy0.1%
Lebron James0.1%
Jasmine Crockett0.1%
Beto O'Rourke0.1%
Elizabeth Warren0.1%
Nov 06, 15:00 pm
VolR$ 562,94M
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro64.85%
Delcy Rodríguez20.5%
María Corina Machado8%
Jorge Rodríguez0.95%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón0.65%
Edmundo González0.65%
No Head of State0.55%
Donald Trump0.55%
Dinorah Figuera0.15%
Vladimir Padrino López0.15%
Evan Pettus0.15%
Dan Caine0.15%
Marco Rubio0.15%
Pete Hegseth0.15%
Frank Donovan0.15%
Richard Grenell0.15%
Jan 04, 18:25 pm
VolR$ 446,65M
Brazil Presidential Election
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva45.5%Flávio Bolsonaro28.05%Renan Santos11.95%Romeu Zema5.45%Fernando Haddad2.95%Michelle Bolsonaro2.2%Camilo Santana1.55%Ronaldo Caiado1.25%Jair Bolsonaro0.75%Geraldo Alckmin0.65%Tereza Cristina0.45%Tarcisio de Freitas0.35%Ratinho Júnior0.15%Eduardo Leite0.15%Aldo Rebelo0.15%Eduardo Bolsonaro0.15%Helder Barbalho0.15%Sep 18, 20:16 pm
VolR$ 409,66M
Next French Presidential Election
Jordan Bardella23.5%Édouard Philippe19.5%Jean-Luc Mélenchon10.5%Marine Le Pen5.5%Dominique de Villepin4.7%David Lisnard4.45%François Hollande4.25%Gabriel Attal3.25%Bruno Retailleau3.15%Raphaël Glucksmann2.05%Sarah Knafo2.05%Sébastien Lecornu1.05%Éric Zemmour0.85%Jean Castex0.85%Juan Branco0.85%Laurent Wauquiez0.75%Gérald Darmanin0.75%Bernard Cazeneuve0.75%Clémence Guetté0.75%Manuel Bompard0.65%Nicolas Dupont-Aignan0.65%Carole Delga0.65%Valérie Pécresse0.65%Élisabeth Borne0.65%François Asselineau0.65%Clémentine Autain0.65%Michel Barnier0.65%Ségolène Royal0.65%Fabien Roussel0.65%Marine Tondelier0.65%François Ruffin0.65%Xavier Bertrand0.65%Olivier Faure0.65%François Bayrou0.65%Mathilde Panot0.65%Yaël Braun-Pivet0.65%Nov 13, 23:10 pm
VolR$ 385,2M
Peru Presidential Election Winner
Keiko Fujimori72.5%Roberto Sánchez Palomino27.15%Rafael López Aliaga0.65%Rafael Belaúnde Llosa0.05%Vladimir Cerrón0.05%Wolfgang Grozo0.05%Carlos Álvarez0.05%Roberto Chiabra0.05%César Acuña0.05%Marisol Pérez Tello0.05%Fiorella Molinelli0.05%Mesías Guevara0.05%Ricardo Belmont0.05%Enrique Valderrama0.05%Carlos Espá0.05%Fernando Olivera0.05%José Luna0.05%Alfonso López Chau0.05%Yonhy Lescano0.05%Mario Vizcarra0.05%George Forsyth0.05%José Williams0.05%Jorge Nieto0.05%Vol
R$ 269,7M
Will Trump visit China by...?
June 30Yes
May 31Yes
May 15Yes
October 31, 2025No
March 31, 2026No
April 30No
May 8No
EncerradoVol
R$ 250,17M
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
June 309.5%
May 314.45%
April 30No
March 31No
April 15No
Vol
R$ 221,69M
2028 Republican presidential nominee
J.D. Vance34%
Marco Rubio29%
Tucker Carlson5.9%
Ron DeSantis4.9%
Donald J. Trump Jr.4.6%
Donald J. Trump3.8%
Thomas Massie1.5%
Glenn Youngkin1.4%
Ivanka Trump1.3%
Marjorie Taylor Greene1.2%
Rand Paul1.2%
Ted Cruz1%
Lara Trump1%
Spencer Pratt1%
Brian Kemp0.9%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders0.8%
Josh Hawley0.7%
Nikki Haley0.6%
Steve Bannon0.6%
Tulsi Gabbard0.6%
Vivek Ramaswamy0.5%
Byron Donalds0.5%
Erika Kirk0.5%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.0.5%
Katie Britt0.5%
Pete Hegseth0.5%
Eric Trump0.5%
Mike Pence0.4%
Greg Abbott0.4%
John Thune0.3%
Tom Cotton0.2%
Elise Stefanik0.2%
Matt Gaetz0.2%
Kristi Noem0.1%
Nicki Minaj0.1%
Elon Musk0.1%
Nov 06, 15:00 pm
VolR$ 217,83M
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 3114.5%
September 309.5%
June 302.55%
May 310.85%
March 31No
April 30No
Nov 25, 18:07 pm
VolR$ 210,92M
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
5.5%Yes94.5%No
Dec 17, 23:04 pm
VolR$ 208,1M
Monthly
2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner
Chong Won-oh71%Oh Se-hoon27.5%Cho Eun-hee0.15%Cho Kuk0.15%Hong Ihk-pyo0.15%Kang Hoon-sik 0.15%Han Dong-hoon0.15%Park Hong-keun0.15%Jeon Hyun-heui0.15%Seo Young-kyo0.15%Ahn Cheol-soo0.05%Park Yong-jin0.05%Na Kyung-won0.05%Park Ju-min0.05%Nov 13, 00:40 am
VolR$ 208,06M
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
J.D. Vance18%
Marco Rubio18%
Gavin Newsom16%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez5.7%
Kamala Harris5%
Jon Ossoff4.9%
Mark Kelly4.1%
Donald J. Trump3.3%
Josh Shapiro3%
Ron DeSantis2.9%
Andy Beshear2.9%
Pete Buttigieg2.8%
Tucker Carlson2.2%
J.B. Pritzker1.9%
Wes Moore1.6%
Donald J. Trump Jr.1.3%
Gretchen Whitmer0.9%
Glenn Youngkin0.6%
Tulsi Gabbard0.5%
Stephen A. Smith0.4%
Nikki Haley0.4%
Jamie Dimon0.3%
Vivek Ramaswamy0.3%
Tim Walz0.2%
Greg Abbott0.2%
May 10, 14:00 pm
VolR$ 191,01M
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
July 3173.5%
June 3056.5%
June 1533%
May 3116%
May 220.95%
April 18No
April 22No
April 30No
April 16No
April 15No
April 17No
April 21No
April 19No
April 20No
April 23No
April 24No
April 27No
April 26No
April 29No
April 25No
May 5No
April 28No
May 15No
Vol
R$ 190,13M
Monthly
Fed Decision in June?
No change97.85%
25 bps decrease0.85%
25 bps increase0.75%
50+ bps decrease0.45%
50+ bps increase0.25%
Dec 10, 21:50 pm
VolR$ 176,56M
Monthly
California Governor winner?
Xavier Becerra60%
Tom Steyer26%
Steve Hilton9.5%
Chad Bianco2.2%
Katie Porter1%
Matt Mahan1%
Kamala Harris0.2%
Tony Thurmond0.1%
Eric Swalwell0.1%
Antonio Villaraigosa0.1%
Ché Ahn0.1%
Betty Yee0.1%
Rob Bonta0.1%
Michael Younger0.1%
Daniel Mercuri0.1%
Leo Zacky0.1%
Butch Ware0.1%
Toni Atkins0.1%
Ethan Agarwal0.1%
Stephen Cloobeck0.1%
Eleni Kounalakis0.1%
Alex Padilla0.1%
Kyle Langford0.1%
Rick Caruso0.1%
Nicole Shanahan0.1%
May 16, 14:00 pm
VolR$ 176,49M
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
6.7%Yes93.3%No
Dec 23, 01:07 am
VolR$ 167,49M
Monthly
Colombia Presidential Election
Abelardo de la Espriella44.5%Iván Cepeda Castro42.5%Paloma Valencia14.75%Sergio Fajardo (DC)0.15%David Luna Sánchez (IND)0.05%Claudia López (IND)0.05%Vicky Dávila (IND)0.05%Luis Gilberto Murillo (CRB)0.05%Juan Manuel Galán (NL)0.05%Germán Vargas Lleras (RC)0.05%Juan Daniel Oviedo (IND)0.05%Mauricio Cárdenas0.05%Gustavo Bolívar (HC)0.05%Enrique Peñalosa0.05%Juan Carlos Pinzón0.05%Roy Barreras0.05%Daniel Quintero0.05%Carlos Felipe Córdoba0.05%Miguel Uribe Turbay (CD)NoJul 29, 17:32 pm
VolR$ 150,13M
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
32.5%Yes67.5%No
Nov 05, 17:57 pm
VolR$ 149,68M
Monthly
Starmer out by...?
December 3172.5%
June 3029.5%
May 315.7%
December 31, 2025No
April 30No
March 31No
February 28No
May 15No
May 19No
Vol
R$ 145,94M
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