bullish

Bitcoin

when

Rekt

Bitcoin (<a data-ct-non-breakable="null" href="https://cointelegraph.com/bitcoin-price" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" target="_self" text="null" title="https://cointelegraph.com/bitcoin-price">BTC</a>) looks ready to undergo a substantial breakout toward $78,000 in the coming weeks, primarily due to price chart technicals and China’s latest economic stimulus.
<h3 id="central-bank-liquidity-will-boost-bitcoin-demand-analyst">Central bank liquidity will boost Bitcoin demand: Analyst</h3>
On Sept. 24, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) <a data-ct-non-breakable="null" href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-09-24/china-frees-banks-to-lend-more-cuts-key-interest-rate" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" target="_blank" text="null" title="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-09-24/china-frees-banks-to-lend-more-cuts-key-interest-rate">announced</a> that it would inject around $140 billion of liquidity into the financial system by cutting the reserve requirement ratio (RRR) by 50 basis points​.
The PBOC has lowered borrowing costs and eased property purchase rules to shore up its struggling real estate market and the wider economy.
Jamie Coutts, chief crypto analyst at investment management firm Real Vision, <a data-ct-non-breakable="null" href="https://x.com/Jamie1Coutts/status/1838472932588425632" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" target="_blank" text="null" title="https://x.com/Jamie1Coutts/status/1838472932588425632">argues</a> that China’s latest stimulus package is bullish for Bitcoin, pointing out that it would influence other central banks to follow suit.
“The bottom is in for global central bank liquidity for this cycle. Sit back and watch the other CBs fall into line,” he noted, adding:
<blockquote>
 “In a credit-based fiat fractional reserve system, debasement is a feature, not a bug.”
</blockquote>
<figure><img alt="Bitcoin price target rises to $78K after Chinese stimulus package" name="" src="https://s3.cointelegraph.com/uploads/2024-09/01922321-28a1-7be8-a536-4e13fcd2a135">
 <figcaption style="text-align: center;">
 BTC/USD vs. Big Four central bank balance sheets. Source: Jamie Coutts
 </figcaption>
</figure>
The PBOC’s recent stimulus package announcements have preceded huge rallies in risk assets like Bitcoin. For instance, the PBOC <a data-ct-non-breakable="null" href="https://cointelegraph.com/news/china-fires-up-the-printer-how-will-it-impact-bitcoin-price" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" target="_self" text="null" title="https://cointelegraph.com/news/china-fires-up-the-printer-how-will-it-impact-bitcoin-price">injected $367.7 billion through reverse repos</a> in October 2023 and $140 billion by reducing the RRR by 50 basis points in January 2024
Bitcoin’s price rose by over 100% following the stimulus package announcements.
<figure><img alt="Bitcoin price target rises to $78K after Chinese stimulus package" name="" src="https://s3.cointelegraph.com/uploads/2024-09/01922327-28d5-746d-af8b-14686a582294">
 <figcaption style="text-align: center;">
 BTC/USD daily price chart ft. Chinese stimulus packages. Source: TradingView
 </figcaption>
</figure>
Interestingly, the direct connection between Chinese liquidity and Bitcoin is less obvious due to the 2021 crypto mining ban in China.
However, as Coutts pointed out, Bitcoin’s performance remains closely tied to global liquidity conditions, and China’s easing measures could prompt broader shifts in risk appetite.
<h3 id="technical-analysis-bull-flag-breakout-eyes-78k">Technical analysis: Bull flag breakout eyes $78K</h3>
Adding to the bullish outlook is the formation of a bull flag pattern on Bitcoin’s longer-timeframe chart.
A bull flag pattern develops when the price consolidates inside a descending channel range after a strong upside move. As a rule, the pattern resolves when the price breaks above the upper trendline and rises as much as the previous uptrend’s height.
Related: <a data-ct-non-breakable="null" href="https://cointelegraph.com/news/history-suggests-breakout-time-bitcoin-rekt-capital" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" target="_self" text="null" title="https://cointelegraph.com/news/history-suggests-breakout-time-bitcoin-rekt-capital">‘History suggests it’s breakout time for Bitcoin’ — Rekt Capital</a>
As of Sept. 24, BTC’s price was testing its flag’s upper trendline for a potential breakout above $78,000—a new record high.
<figure><img alt="Bitcoin price target rises to $78K after Chinese stimulus package" name="" src="https://s3.cointelegraph.com/uploads/2024-09/0192233c-74c6-73b6-92c0-8bc1ac343735">
 <figcaption style="text-align: center;">
 BTC/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView
 </figcaption>
</figure>
Conversely, a pullback from the upper trendline will likely take the price down toward the lower trendline, aligning with the 0.0 Fibonacci retracement trendline of around $5.
As Cointelegraph reported, BTC may need to rise well above $80,000 to achieve a new all-time high value when adjusted for inflation.
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

Bitcoin price target rises to $78K after Chinese stimulus package

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