Deep Dive
1. Tokenomics Overhaul: Inflation vs. Growth (Mixed Impact)
Overview:
VIP #1 passed in July 2025, minting 110M new VIC (total 210M) to fund staking rewards and an 80M VIC ecosystem fund. While this addresses masternode incentives (critical for security) and developer grants, the supply shock contributed to VIC’s 55% price decline over 90 days.
What this means:
Short-term, inflation pressures dominate – circulating supply rose from 98.3M to 123.5M by December 2025. Long-term, success hinges on whether funded projects like Dagora NFTs and RabbitSwap DEX drive demand to offset dilution.
2. Atlas Hard Fork & Ecosystem Momentum (Bullish Catalyst)
Overview:
The August 2025 Atlas Hard Fork introduced VRC25 token standards and gas optimizations. Coupled with a 120% surge in staked assets post-upgrade, daily active users hit 63.4K in July 2025 (Viction report).
What this means:
Improved developer tools could attract more dApps, but adoption must accelerate to reverse price trends. TVL remains low at ~$12M, suggesting ecosystem growth is still early-stage.
3. Market Sentiment & Liquidity Risks (Bearish Pressure)
Overview:
VIC’s 24h turnover ratio (0.122) signals thin liquidity, exacerbating volatility. With Bitcoin dominance at 58.6% and the crypto Fear & Greed Index at 21 (extreme fear), altcoins like VIC face headwinds.
What this means:
Until market-wide risk appetite improves, VIC may struggle to gain momentum. Whale activity (e.g., July 2025 accumulation) could provide temporary lifts but isn’t sustainable without organic demand.
Conclusion
Viction’s future price hinges on executing its ecosystem fund to spur adoption while navigating inflationary pressures. The Atlas upgrade lays groundwork, but measurable traction in TVL and user growth is critical. With RSI at 34 and prices below all key moving averages (30-day SMA: $0.116), technicals lean bearish short-term.
Key question: Can Viction’s retrodrop campaigns and partnerships offset its supply overhang before 2026’s final token unlock?