Terra Classic (LUNC) Price Prediction

Deep Dive

1. Supply Reduction via Burns (Mixed Impact)

Overview: Over 15% of LUNC’s circulating supply has been burned since 2022, with Binance leading monthly burns. September 2025 saw 3.2B tokens burned, briefly lifting prices 10–20%. However, weak adoption keeps TVL at $800k, undermining deflationary effects.

What this means: Burns reduce supply but require demand catalysts (e.g., dApp growth) for sustained upside. Without utility, LUNC risks remaining in a “burn trap” with short-lived rallies.

2. Ecosystem Revival Efforts (Bullish Impact)

Overview: The August 2025 v3.5.0 upgrade re-enabled the Market Module, critical for stabilizing LUNC/USTC on-chain. Binance and validators back the update, mirroring February 2025’s 320% post-upgrade rally.

What this means: Successful implementation could revive developer interest and liquidity pools (e.g., TerraSwap’s LUNC/USDC pairing). Historical precedent suggests a 180–320% surge if adoption follows (CoinMarketCap).

3. Legal & Exchange Risks (Bearish Impact)

Overview: Do Kwon’s guilty plea (Aug 2025) and ongoing U.S. lawsuits deter institutional inflows. OKX and Zondacrypto delisted LUNC, citing compliance concerns, while ETF prospects remain blocked until cases resolve.

What this means: Regulatory uncertainty suppresses U.S. exchange listings and institutional participation. Until cases close, LUNC’s liquidity and legitimacy face headwinds (Crypto.News).

Conclusion

LUNC’s path hinges on balancing supply burns with real-world utility while navigating legal overhangs. Short-term volatility is likely, but a breakout above $0.000064 (neckline of inverse head-and-shoulders pattern) could signal momentum. Will the Terra Classic community unlock sustainable demand beyond speculative burns? Monitor TVL and exchange relisting news.