SOON (SOON) Price Prediction

Deep Dive

1. Token Unlock Dynamics (Bearish/Mixed Impact)

Overview: SOON faced a 15.21M token unlock on November 23, 2025 (1.54% of supply, ~$28.3M at $0.14 redemption price). Historically, unlocks triggered selloffs (e.g., 67% drop in November). However, SIP-004 (proposed Nov 17) aims to stake/lock 15.92M tokens for future unlocks, potentially mitigating sell pressure.

What this means: Unlocks historically correlate with price declines, but successful governance action (SIP-004) could stabilize supply. The $0.14 redemption floor (SOON Foundation) creates a psychological support level, though sustained trading below it could trigger panic.

2. Utility-Driven Demand (Bullish Impact)

Overview: SOON’s staking mechanism (3% annual inflation) and $gSOON token utilities—like trial funds for copy-trading platform simpfor.fun—aim to lock supply and incentivize usage. The team plans to upgrade staking to secure the network, rewarding long-term holders (Medium).

What this means: If ecosystem adoption grows (e.g., increased SVM Rollup usage), demand for SOON as a gas token could rise. However, the 3% inflation risks dilution if staking participation lags.

3. Macro & Sentiment Risks (Bearish Impact)

Overview: The crypto Fear & Greed Index sits at 22 (“Fear”), while Bitcoin dominance (58.7%) signals capital rotation away from altcoins. SOON’s 30-day price drop (-78.7%) aligns with sector-wide declines (Layer 2 tokens fell 7.1% in late November).

What this means: SOON remains vulnerable to broader market downturns. A reversal hinges on Bitcoin stability and improved altcoin sentiment. RSI at 25.4 (7-day) suggests oversold conditions, but MACD remains bearish.

Conclusion

SOON’s price trajectory balances project-specific catalysts (staking upgrades, governance) against macro uncertainty. The key near-term watch is SIP-004’s outcome and whether $0.14 redemption demand absorbs unlock-driven selling. Longer-term, adoption of its SVM Rollup infrastructure will dictate sustainability.

What’s next? Can SOON’s staking APR and ecosystem incentives offset inflation in a risk-off market?