IoTeX (IOTX) Price Prediction

Deep Dive

1. DePIN & AI Integration (Bullish Impact)

Overview:
IoTeX’s pivot to AI-powered DePIN (decentralized physical infrastructure) includes partnerships to tokenize EV charging stations (U Power) and convert 5M+ mobile towers into decentralized nodes (Vodafone). These initiatives could drive demand for IOTX as a gas/utility token in machine economies.

What this means:
Real-world adoption could boost network activity, increasing IOTX’s burn rate (via transaction fees) and utility value. However, success hinges on scaling beyond current 40M devices and competing with Helium/FIL.

2. Exchange Volatility (Bearish Impact)

Overview:
The October 2025 Binance flash crash saw IOTX briefly hit $0 due to liquidity gaps, despite no protocol issues. While IoTeX launched buybacks, the event highlighted reliance on CEXs – 24h volume ($24M) is just 0.03% of BTC’s.

What this means:
Thin order books amplify downside risks during market stress. Recovery to pre-crash levels (~$0.015) requires deeper liquidity, possibly via DEX growth (Quicksilver’s $20M TVL) or institutional products post-CF Benchmarks listing.

3. Staking vs. Governance (Mixed Impact)

Overview:
40% of IOTX is staked, reducing liquid supply, but recent governance proposals (IIP-50) aim to slash underperforming delegates, potentially unsettling validators.

What this means:
High staking promotes price stability but could delay rallies if unlocks coincide with bearish sentiment. Nakamoto Coefficient of 9 (vs ETH’s 2.4) suggests decentralization, yet voter apathy (200M IOTX votes in 2025) risks centralization over time.

Conclusion

IoTeX’s AI/DePIN bets offer long-term upside if real-world adoption accelerates, but near-term price action remains vulnerable to crypto-wide risk-off flows and liquidity shocks. The 200-day EMA ($0.019) looms as a key resistance level – can staking rewards and burn mechanisms offset macro headwinds? Watch Q1 2026 partnership traction and the RSI’s ability to hold above 30.