Hana Network (HANA) Price Prediction

Deep Dive

1. Exchange Listings & Liquidity (Bearish Impact)

Overview: HANA listed on KuCoin, HTX, and Toobit futures (Sep–Oct 2025) with initial price spikes, but subsequent 87% drop from its $0.04 TGE price reflects heavy sell pressure. The token’s 1.69 turnover ratio indicates thin liquidity, amplifying volatility.

What this means: While listings expanded accessibility, early investors and KOLs (like those in the Kaito leaderboard campaign) likely offloaded tokens post-TGE, creating sustained downward pressure. Futures markets (50x leverage on Toobit) may exacerbate swings.

2. Hypercasual Finance Adoption (Mixed Impact)

Overview: Hana aims to replace CEXs with social-integrated P2P tools like livestream tipping and Telegram-based micro-betting. Partnerships with Bitget Wallet (0% fee crypto card) and Cosmos SDK aim to simplify cross-chain transactions.

What this means: Success hinges on onboarding “The Next Billion Users” via TikTok/Telegram – a narrative that could attract speculative interest. However, the current $6.1M market cap (-88% from TGE) suggests skepticism about execution versus rivals like STEPN.

3. Tokenomics & Unlock Schedule (Bearish Impact)

Overview: 51% of supply (473M HANA) is earmarked for community incentives, with 30% vested over 12 months. Early backers (pre-seed $25M FDV) hold tokens locked until 2026, while TGE participants had immediate unlocks.

What this means: With 47% of supply already circulating, further unlocks from ecosystem/team allocations (19%) through 2026 could suppress prices unless offset by demand spikes. RSI at 36 signals oversold conditions, but MACD shows weak momentum reversal signs.

Conclusion

HANA’s price trajectory depends on balancing speculative social growth against relentless token supply unlocks. While integrations with major platforms offer upside potential, the token’s 90-day -87% decline underscores market distrust in delivery timelines. Can Hana’s upcoming gaming/NFT roadmap (2026) counterweigh dilution from 473M circulating tokens? Monitor exchange net flows and Telegram bot transaction volumes for early sentiment shifts.