Deep Dive
1. Post-Listing Profit-Taking (Bearish Impact)
Overview: GRIFFAIN’s Bitrue Alpha listing on 1 December 2025 initially drove a 17% price spike, but the token has since shed 23% from its post-listing high of $0.0276.
What this means: New exchange listings often trigger “buy the rumor, sell the news” behavior. With GRIFFAIN’s 30-day rally (+22.79%) preceding the drop, traders likely locked in profits as momentum slowed. The 24h sell volume reached $3.3M, nearly matching buys ($3.5M), confirming balanced exit pressure.
What to watch: Sustained holding above the 30-day SMA ($0.0165) could signal accumulation, while a break below may extend declines.
2. Technical Resistance at Key Level (Bearish Impact)
Overview: GRIFFAIN faced rejection at the $0.0223 pivot point, a critical resistance level identified in its technical structure.
What this means: The pivot aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement ($0.02278), creating a confluence barrier. A failure to hold above this zone often triggers algorithmic sell orders, exacerbating downward moves. The RSI14 at 62.77 (neutral) leaves room for further correction without being oversold.
Key threshold: A close below the 38.2% Fib level ($0.0207) could target the 50-day EMA at $0.0181.
3. Altcoin Sentiment Erosion (Bearish Impact)
Overview: Bitcoin’s dominance climbed to 58.44% (up 0.09% in 24h), while the Altcoin Season Index hit 18 – deep in “Bitcoin Season” territory.
What this means: Investors are favoring BTC amid market uncertainty, starving altcoins of liquidity. GRIFFAIN’s 24h volume fell 20.63% to $5.37M, reflecting reduced speculative interest. Small-cap AI tokens like GRIFFAIN are particularly vulnerable – The Defiant notes similar assets remain 90%+ below 2024 peaks, inviting skepticism about sustained rallies.
Conclusion
GRIFFAIN’s dip combines profit-taking after its Bitrue-fueled surge, technical resistance, and a risk-off shift toward Bitcoin. While the project’s Agent Engine utility provides long-term value, traders appear cautious given macro headwinds and altcoin fragility.
Key watch: Can GRIFFAIN hold above its 30-day SMA ($0.0165), or will Bitcoin’s dominance climb further and pressure speculative tokens? Monitor the $0.0207 Fib level for near-term directional cues.