Gas (GAS) Price Prediction

Deep Dive

1. Neo N3 Protocol Changes (Bullish Impact)

Overview:
A pending Neo Council vote (expected by February 2026) proposes slashing GAS generation from 5→1 per block and reducing block times from 15→3 seconds. If passed, annual GAS supply would drop ~84% (Neo Blog).

What this means:
Scarcity mechanics could lift prices if Neo network activity remains stable – historical parallels like Ethereum’s EIP-1559 show reduced issuance can support valuations. However, dApps relying on fixed block intervals may face migration costs, creating short-term uncertainty.

2. Gas Fee Market Disruption (Bearish Impact)

Overview:
Solutions like D’CENT’s GasPass and Trust Wallet’s FlexGas allow transactions without holding native gas tokens. Over 195,171 ETH ($789M) has migrated to these systems since October 2025 (ETHGas).

What this means:
If Neo doesn’t adopt similar abstraction, GAS could lose relevance as a pure fee token. The 24.8% YoY drop in GAS’s price (-54.6% vs. BTC’s -14.2%) already reflects weakening fee token narratives.

3. Technical & Sentiment Pressures (Mixed Impact)

Overview:
GAS trades 26% below its 200-day EMA ($3.11) with bearish MACD crossovers. However, the 41.9 RSI suggests no extreme oversold conditions. Global crypto fear-greed index sits at 18/100 (CMC Data).

What this means:
Technical charts favor sellers, but extreme fear historically precedes altcoin rebounds. A break above $2.58 (23.6% Fib) could trigger short covering, while losing $2.10 support may accelerate declines.

Conclusion

GAS’s fate hinges on Neo’s ability to balance tokenomics tightening with real-world utility against rising gas abstraction trends. Watch the Neo Council’s vote timeline and whether GAS finds new use cases beyond transaction fees – does the protocol’s speed upgrade justify holding the token if fee demand keeps declining?